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UFC 231 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 231, which is set to hit Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, this weekend (Sat., Dec. 8, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

The best Featherweight and Women’s Flyweight fights the UFC has to offer go down this Saturday in Toronto as Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega and Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. Valentina Shevchenko headline UFC 231.

Fans will also get to see grappling ace Gunnar Nelson square off with Brazilian powerhouse Alex Oliveira and Thiago Santos throw down with Jimi Manuwa in a clash of Light Heavyweight knockout artists.

There’s still Christmas gifts and expensive liquors to be bought before the 25th, so let’s fatten up that wallet.

What Went Wrong Last Weekend?

I didn’t consider Edmen Shahbazyan’s wrestling. I knew he had it in his arsenal, as he’d used it prior to his Contender Series appearance, but I figured it was insufficient to drag Darren Stewart out of his comfort zone. Turns out it was, and while I was right about Shahbazyan losing steam in the later rounds, it happened too late to make a difference.

Undercard:

Cláudia Gadelha (-320) vs. Nina Ansaroff (+260)

Katlyn Chookagian (-175) vs. Jessica Eye (+155)

Elias Theodorou (-125) vs. Eryk Anders (+105)

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-130) vs. Gilbert Burns (+110)

Aleksandar Rakic (-550) vs. Devin Clark (+425)

Brad Katona (-210) vs. Matthew Lopez (+175)

Chad Laprise (-350) vs. Dhiego Lima (+290)

Diego Ferreira (-340) vs. Jesse Ronson (+280)

Thoughts:

I get why Elias Theodorou is the favorite, as he’s 7-2 in the UFC and Anders is coming off of a horrendously brutal knockout loss to Thiago Santos. At the same time, look at who Theodorou has beaten; a bevy of slow-as-molasses grapplers, a Sam Alvey who threw less than 50 strikes in the entire fight, and Cezar “Mutante,” who deserved the win against him. Anders can shut down his grappling, outbox him, and overall make his night miserable. Put a bit on him.

Gilbert Burns is worth a look as well. Aubin-Mercier has had issues with fellow physical grapplers, and not only is Burns colossal for the weight, he packs nightmarish power in his hands. Definitely worth at least a look, I’d say.

Main Card:

Max Holloway (-125) vs. Brian Ortega (+105)

Valentina Shevchenko (-350) vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+290)

Thiago Santos (-220) vs. Jimi Manuwa (+180)

Gunnar Nelson (-135) vs. Alex Oliveira (+115)

Hakeem Dawodu (-165) vs. Kyle Bochniak (+145)

Thoughts: I keep betting against Brian Ortega and he keeps winning. I’m going to keep betting against Brian Ortega because Max Holloway is the best Featherweight on the planet.

Interesting factoid: Brian Ortega has not hit a takedown since his UFC debut. He’s gotten people down by either pressuring them into shooting, snapping them down from the clinch, or just straight-up knocking them stupid. Holloway is the more able pressure fighter, has sufficient distance management to avoid prolonged clinches, and took Jose Aldo’s best shots with nary a wobble. So long as his brain’s still in the right part of his skull after that 226 incident, he dominates this.

Kyle Bochniak is only a slight underdog against one of the best up-and-coming strikers in the Featherweight division. This is odd. Yes, people are high on him after the Magomedsharipov fight, but he got his ass beat for fifteen minutes that night. He’s 2-3 in the Octagon and should be 1-4, as the decision against Barzola was garbage. Dawodu has beaten superior fighters and is going to tear him a new one from bell to bell, so bet accordingly.

Best bets for UFC 231:

Single bet-Eryk Anders: $ 40 to make $ 42

Single bet-Gilbert Burns: $ 30 to make $ 33

Parlay-Max Holloway and Hakeem Dawodu: $ 60 to make $ 113.40

This is going to be a special evening. Don’t miss it. See you Saturday, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300

Current Total: $ 1050.80

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UFC ‘Buenos Aires’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 140, which is set to hit Parque Roca Arena in Buenos Aires, Argentina, this weekend (Sat., Nov. 17, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more! 

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) makes its Argentina debut this Saturday (Nov. 17, 2018) with the country’s brightest mixed martial arts (MMA) star, Santiago Ponzinibbio, at the helm. The FOX Sports 1-televised main event pits “Gente Boa” against Neil Magny in a fight that could have title implications in the crowded Welterweight division. Twenty-five pounds south, veterans Ricardo Lamas and Darren Elkins duke it out, while the resurgent Khalil Rountree Jr. welcomes Brazil’s Johnny Walker to UFC’s Light Heavyweight division.

This flurry of UFC events can be exhausting, but I’ve found that nothing bolsters your spirits quite like winning money. Let’s get some!

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 139?

Raquel Pennington was just completely cowed by Germaine de Randamie. To win that fight, she had to be constantly moving forward and setting up her takedowns. Instead, she sat at range against a lengthier woman and showed no nuance in her takedown entries. I’m not sure if she’s fully recovered from the beating she took against Amanda Nunes … or if she ever will be. On the bright side, we still turned a slight profit thanks to Mark De La Rosa and Beneil Dariush. Small victories are still victories.

UFC Fight Night 140 Odds For The Undercard:

Michel Prazeres (-190) vs. Bartosz Fabinski (+165)
Alexandre Pantoja (-360) vs. Yuta Sasaki (+300)
Humberto Bandenay (-260) vs. Austin Arnett (+220)
Laureano Staropoli (-115) vs. Hector Aldana (-105)
Jesus Pinedo (-195) vs. Devin Powell (+168)
Nad Narimani (-320) vs. Anderson Dos Santos (+260)

Thoughts: I don’t think being adventurous is the right course of action here. Start with Nad Narimani and see who you can parlay him with to get some reasonable odds.

Anderson “Berinja” is legit and well-traveled, but he’s also smaller than Narimani and outclassed in his area of expertise. His style is entirely dependent on his wrestling, an area in which Narimani has him outclassed, and I don’t see him catching anything in transition against the Cage Warriors vet. Unfortunately, nobody is really standing out to me as a safe parlay filler. Maybe Michel Prazeres? Fabinski is as one-note as can be and the Brazilian should tear him up on the feet.

UFC Fight Night 140 Odds For The Main Card:

Santiago Ponzinibbio (-280) vs. Neil Magny (+240)
Ricardo Lamas (-210) vs. Darren Elkins (+175)
Khalil Rountree (-230) vs. Johnny Walker (+190)
Cezar Ferreira (-185) vs. Ian Heinisch (+160)
Marlon Vera (-325) vs. Guido Cannetti (+265)
Poliana Botelho (-155) vs. Cynthia Calvillo (+135)

Thoughts: Cynthia Calvillo’s been written off after her loss to Carla Esparza, but I’m not ready to call her a bust yet.

Poliana Botelho is a beast — she came up flat in her debut against Pearl Gonzalez, but absolutely crushed a woman in Syuri Kondo whom I’d pegged to beat her handily. Her power is something to behold and she’s four inches taller than Calvillo, but she’s also such a wild striker that it opens the door for Calvillo to get inside and work her wrestling. The Brazilian hits too hard to recommend a big bet against her, but I do think the American gets back on track Saturday night.

UFC Fight Night 140 Best Bets:

  • Parlay — Nad Narimani and Michel Prazeres: Bet $ 40 to make $ 40
  • Single bet — Cynthia Calvillo: Bet $ 40 to make $ 54

Action potential, some fresh faces, and a reasonable start time combine to make a solid event. Catch it with us on Saturday, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 928.19

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UFC ‘Denver’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 139, which is set to hit Pepsi Center in Denver, Colo., this weekend (Sat., Nov. 10, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more! 

Pepsi Center in Denver, Colo., will play host to Featherweight mayhem this Saturday (Nov. 10, 2018) when Chan Sung Jung returns to action against the high-flying Yair Rodriguez in UFC Fight Night 139’s main event, which will air live and free on FOX Sports 1. The evening will also see Mike Perry slug it out with Donald Cerrone at Welterweight and former women’s Featherweight champion Germaine De Randamie face gritty veteran Raquel Pennington.

We’ve got a month to build up funds for UFC’s next pay-per-view (PPV) event, so let’s get on that.

What Went Wrong at UFC 230?

Not a thing! We even managed to predict that Sheymon Moraes would win by split decision, so that’s nice.

UFC Fight Night 139 Odds For The Undercard:

Ashley Yoder (-145) vs. Amanda Cooper (+125)
Bobby Moffett (-115) vs. Chas Skelly (-105)
Beneil Dariush (-140) vs. Thiago Moises (+120)
Devonte Smith (-230) vs. Julian Erosa (+190)
Davi Ramos (-970) vs. John Gunther (+635)
Eric Shelton (-115) vs. Joseph Morales (-105)
Mark De La Rosa (-230) vs. Joby Sanchez (+190)

Thoughts: Beneil Dariush and Mark De La Rosa look undervalued against their respective short-notice opponents.

The last time Dariush took on a strong young unknown on short notice, he got knocked silly. I have genuine concerns about both his durability and whether he can maintain the aggression that makes his style work. All that said, Moises struggled mightily with the pressure of Robert Watley last year and is the inferior wrestler. Whether through volume striking or going back to his roots as a submission specialist, I expect Dariush to win this comfortably.

Joby Sanchez’s wrestling just isn’t up to par. He’s been taken down at least once by pretty much everyone who tried, and while he’s a decent scrambler, Roberto Sanchez needed less than two minutes to choke him out. De La Rosa offers a similar skillset as Sanchez and ought to produce similar results.

UFC Fight Night 139 Odds For The Main Card:

Chan Sung Jung (-135) vs. Yair Rodriguez (+115)
Mike Perry (-225) vs. Donald Cerrone (+185)
Germaine de Randamie (-165) vs. Raquel Pennington (+145)
Ray Borg (-115) vs. Joseph Benavidez (-105)
Maycee Barber (-420) vs. Hannah Cifers (+335)
Luis Pena (-300) vs. Mike Trizano (+250)

Thoughts: The favorites took center stage on the undercard, but I like the looks of Raquel Pennington and Joseph Benavidez.

Germaine de Randamie has fought three times in the past five years. Two of the people she beat, Anna Elmose and Larissa Pacheco, went winless in UFC … and she barely beat Holly Holm despite having the clear stylistic edge. Pennington does not deserve to be this significant an underdog, but she is, so let’s take advantage.

UFC Fight Night 139 Best Bets:

  • Parlay — Beneil Dariush and Mark De La Rosa: Bet $ 40 to make $ 58.40
  • Single bet — Raquel Pennington: Bet $ 30 to make $ 43.50

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 139 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC 230 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 230, which is set to hit Madison Square Garden in New York, N.Y., this weekend (Sat., Nov. 3, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

The big boys look to shake Madison Square Garden in New York, N.Y., this Saturday (Nov. 3, 2018) when UFC Heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier looks to defend his title against Derrick Lewis in UFC 230’s pay-per-view (PPV) main event. Meanwhile, 80 pounds south, former Middleweight champion, Chris Weidman, takes on Brazilian jiu-jitsu legend “Jacare” Souza and iron-tough submission artist Dave Branch faces the heavy-handed Jared Cannonier.

UFC 230 is certainly an oddball event, but that doesn’t mean we can’t wring some dough out of it. Let’s begin!

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 138?

Nothing — a rare 3-0, with only one controversial decision in the bunch. Let’s keep it up.

UFC 230 Odds For The Undercard:

Jason Knight (-260) vs. Jordan Rinaldi (+220)
Sijara Eubanks (-475) vs. Roxanne Modafferi (+380)
Julio Arce (-335) vs. Sheymon Moraes (+275)
Lyman Good (-600) vs. Ben Saunders (+450)
Lando Vannata (-300) vs. Matt Frevola (+250)
Shane Burgos (-310) vs. Kurt Holobaugh (+255)
Montel Jackson (-130) vs. Brian Kelleher (+110)
Adam Wieczorek (-220) vs. Marcos Rogério de Lima (+180)

Thoughts: Yeah, I got nothin.’ I legitimately cannot find a strong bargain here. Montel Jackson opened as an underdog, which would have been nice, but that’s no longer on the table. A smidgen on Sheymon Moraes could work, though, as the Brazilian looked sharp against another good prospect in Matt Sayles earlier this year.

UFC 230 Odds For The Main Card:

Daniel Cormier (-700) vs. Derrick Lewis (+500)
Chris Weidman (-160) vs. Ronaldo Souza (+140)
David Branch (-360) vs. Jared Cannonier (+300)
Karl Roberson (-270) vs. Jack Marshman (+230)
Israel Adesanya (-320) vs. Derek Brunson (+260)

Thoughts: Again, nothing that particularly stands out. I thought of recommending a bet on Weidman, but “Jacare” still hits plenty hard and only needs a moment on the ground to finish things. You could maybe parlay Karl Roberson, who’s up against a very limited foe in Jack Marshman, with Shane Burgos or any of the other huge favorites on the card.

UFC 230 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Sheymon Moraes: Bet $ 20 to make $ 55
  • Parlay — Shane Burgos and Karl Roberson: Bet $ 40 to make $ 32.52

UFC 230 will be a spectacle, if nothing else, and whether that’s worth $ 65 is up to you. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 230 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC 229 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 229, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., Oct. 6, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Years of speculation come to rest this Saturday night (Oct. 6, 2018) as Lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and Conor McGregor finally square off in UFC 229’s pay-per-view (PPV) main event for the undisputed 155-pound title inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The mixed martial arts (MMA) superstars will be joined by Tony Ferguson and Anthony Pettis, who will battle it out for the next crack at the winner, as well as Ovince Saint Preux vs. Dominick Reyes and Alexander Volkov vs. Derrick Lewis.

Let’s skip the formalities and just get to the analysis!

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 137?

I made a series of assumptions that proved unwise. First off, I assumed that Sergio Moraes would be as happy to brawl and reticent to use his grappling as he’s been in the past. Second, I assumed that Francisco Trinaldo would maintain his unwillingness to utilize body shots despite their obvious effectiveness. Both proved categorically false, as the Brazilians finally fought up to their potential and delivered stunning victories.

UFC 229 Odds For The Undercard:

Sergio Pettis (-150) vs. Jussier Formiga (+130)
Vicente Luque (-800) vs. Jalin Turner (+550)
Aspen Ladd (-160) vs. Tonya Evinger (+140)
Alan Patrick (-255) vs. Scott Holtzman (+215)
Yana Kunitskaya (-195) vs. Lina Länsberg (+168)
Nik Lentz (-225) vs. Gray Maynard (+185)
Ryan LaFlare (-140) vs. Tony Martin (+120)

Thoughts: Jussier Formiga is the star of the show, with Lina Lansberg in a bit part.

Sergio Pettis is coming off the best win of his career over a man in Joseph Benavidez who dominated Formiga early in the latter’s UFC run. That said, Benavidez had been out of action for 1.5 years and looked much rougher with his striking than usual, yet still managed to take down Pettis twice. “The Phenom” has been taken down by every UFC opponent he’s faced besides Chris Cariaso, and Formiga sports some of the best back control the Octagon has ever seen. Sure, Pettis is good on the mat, but so were Zach Makovsky, Wilson Reis, Dustin Ortiz and all the others he has dominated in the grappling. The Brazilian deserves to be the favorite here, so trust in his skills.

I’ve never been greatly impressed by Kunitskaya, whose record was largely built against hopeless competition. She does her best work in the clinch, where Lansberg excels, and the latter’s takedown defense and scrambling looked stout against Gina Mazany last time out. It’s worth a minor investment.

UFC 229 Odds For The Main Card:

Khabib Nurmagomedov (-160) vs. Conor McGregor (+150)
Tony Ferguson (-360) vs. Anthony Pettis (+300)
Dominick Reyes (-225) vs. Ovince Saint Preux (+185)
Alexander Volkov (-175) vs. Derrick Lewis (+155)
Felice Herrig (-130) vs. Michele Waterson (+110)

Thoughts: Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to smash Conor McGregor.

Even at the best of times, Nurmagomedov is likely the division’s worst match up for McGregor, a durable and relentless takedown artist who can go five hard rounds. These are not the best of times — McGregor has not stepped into the cage since Nov. 2016 and his only real experience against dedicated wrestlers came against Chad Mendes in 2015. McGregor needs a one-punch finish, and he’s not going to get it before Nurmagomedov gets his hands on him and begins the smashing process.

Meanwhile, a little bit on Derrick Lewis seems wise, too. Volkov gets stronger as the fight progresses, but appears vulnerable to the early takedown, and Lewis really only needs to get on top once. “Black Beast” is too old and inconsistent to bet the house on, but he has a chance.

UFC 229 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Jussier Formiga: Bet $ 100 to make $ 130
  • Single bet — Lina Lansberg: Bet $ 40 to make $ 67.20
  • Single bet — Khabib Nurmagomedov: Bet $ 100 to make $ 62.50
  • Single bet — Derrick Lewis: Bet $ 30 to make $ 46.50

Do not miss this: It’s going to be bananas!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 229 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC 228 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 228, which is set to hit American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, this weekend (Sat., Sept. 8, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Two red-hot Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) contenders make a bid for gold this Saturday (Sept. 8, 2018) when American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, hosts UFC 228, which sees Darren till and Valentina Shevchenko challenge champions Tyron Woodley and Nicco Montano in the pay-per-view (PPV) main- and co-main events. Meanwhile, over at Featherweight, Brandon Davis steps up on short notice to face the future of the division, Zabit Magomedsharipov, while Jessica Andrade takes on Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a potential title eliminator at 115 pounds.

It’s set to be an interesting night, if nothing else. Let’s see what we can do about those profit margins:

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 135?

Nothing — Justice was served!

UFC 228 Odds For The Undercard:

Tatiana Suarez (-550) vs. Carla Esparza (+425)
Aljamain Sterling (-135) vs. Cody Stamann (+115)
Jimmie Rivera (-150) vs. John Dodson (+130)
Charles Byrd (-225) vs. Darren Stewart (+185)
Craig White (-230) vs. Diego Sanchez (+190)
Alex White (-140) vs. Jim Miller (+120)
Irene Aldana (-125) vs. Lucie Pudilova (+105)
Jarred Brooks (-350) vs. Roberto Sanchez (+260)
Geoff Neal (-175) vs. Frank Camacho (+155)

Thoughts: It’s a bummer that Roberto Sanchez vs. Ryan Benoit fell through, because Sanchez wasn’t favored nearly enough. At least we’ve still got Aljamain Sterling to dump all of our hopes on.

Cody Stamann has consistently risen above my expectations, but his last two wins were anything but easy. He struggled against Tom Duquesnoy before the Frenchman gassed out and was saved by the bell against a rusty Bryan Caraway, who arguably deserved the win despite spending the last 10 minutes of the fight in zombie mode. Sterling’s length and kicking game will allow him to control engagements on the feet and keep Stamann at too far a range for the latter to shoot in. If the fight does wind up hitting the ground, it will be on Sterling’s terms, and “The Funk Master” is downright lethal on the mat. Sterling already beat another tough-as-nails grinder in Brett Johns and I see him having every bit as much success here.

As far as the others, a “Tuesday Night Contender Series” parlay of Charles Byrd and Geoff Neal seems thematically appropriate. Byrd’s grappling is well above Stewart’s and Camacho doesn’t have the firepower to brawl his way past a bigger, stronger man.

UFC 228 Odds For The Main Card:

Darren Till (-115) vs. Tyron Woodley (-105)
Valentina Shevchenko (-1250) vs. Nicco Montano (+800)
Zabit Magomedsharipov (-1175) vs. Brandon Davis (+650)
Jessica Andrade (-425) vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+340)
Abdul Razak Alhassan (-145) vs. Niko Price (+125)

Thoughts: I’d steer clear, honestly. Three of them are massively lopsided and the other two each feature two fighters with one-punch knockout power.

UFC 228 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Aljamain Sterling: Bet $ 135 to make $ 100
  • Parlay — Charles Byrd and Geoff Neal: Bet $ 50 to make $ 62.50

UFC 228 features a blend of tough champions and young prospects, which always makes for a quality evening of fights. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 228 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC ‘Lincoln’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 135, which is set to hit Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, Neb., this weekend (Sat., Aug. 25, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more! 

Bad blood gets settled inside Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, Neb., this Saturday (Aug. 25, 2018) when all-action Justin Gaethje faces the rising James Vick in UFC Fight Night 135’s main event, which will be broadcast on FOX Sports 1. Earlier in the evening, Michael Johnson looks for his first Featherweight victory against Andre Fili, Angela Hill faces Cortney Casey, and Deiveson Figueiredo takes on John Moraga in 2018’s first non-title men’s Flyweight bout to appear on a main card.

Labor Day is right around the corner, so let’s see if we can’t raise some money for the long, fun-filled weekend.

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 227?

I take full responsibility for underestimating Alex Perez and Pedro Munhoz.

Though I knew Jose Torres spends the first few minutes of every fight eating every punch that comes his way, I did not believe that Perez’s striking was enough for him to get the win before “Shorty” could get his head on straight. I was clearly wrong. Perez has consistently exceeded my expectations and I can’t wait to see where he goes from here.

On a similar note, I wrote off Pedro Munhoz’s stand up as being just basic power-punching after he struggled in the striking against Justin Scoggins, Rob Font and John Dodson. Instead, he tore up Brett Johns’ body and legs with wholly unexpected ease. My bad.

I won’t apologize for my Kyung Ho Kang pick, though. He won rounds two and three regardless of what two of the dumb judges thought.

UFC Fight Night 135 Odds For The Undercard:

Warlley Alves (-470) vs. James Krause (+375)
Cory Sandhagen (-245) vs. Iuri Alcântara (+205)
Markus Perez (-115) vs. Andrew Sanchez (-105)
Mickey Gall (-330) vs. George Sullivan (+270)
Joanne Calderwood (-160) vs. Kalindra Faria (+140)
Drew Dober (-210) vs. Jon Tuck (+175)
Rani Yahya (-115) vs. Luke Sanders (-105)

Thoughts: Even on the heels of knockout losses, I like Andrew Sanchez here.

Markus Perez’s striking looked more like performance art than a cohesive attack against Eryk Anders and, though he dominated James Bochnovic his second time out, Bochnovic is kind of not very good at fighting. That leaves his wrestling, which Sanchez can match or best, and “El Dirte” is too good to leave his neck out in transition. The stylistic edge is far enough in The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winner’s favor for me to overlook his recent struggles.

UFC Fight Night 135 Odds For Main Card:

James Vick (-150) vs. Justin Gaethje (+130)
Michael Johnson (-145) vs. Andre Fili (+125)
Angela Hill (-145) vs. Cortney Casey (+125)
Bryan Barberena (-500) vs. Jake Ellenberger (+400)
Deiveson Figueiredo (-145) vs. John Moraga (+125)
Eryk Anders (-750) vs. Tim Williams (+525)

Thoughts: The Justin Gaethje train isn’t off the track just yet, boys and girls.

Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier fought Justin Gaethje in just about the best ways possible and they were still barely able to walk afterward. Any Gaethje fight boils down to whether a fighter can crack his jaw before his body gives out, and I can’t imagine that 6’3” Vick’s legs standing up to 25 minutes of punishment. He could theoretically hurt “The Highlight” with a punch he doesn’t see coming, so don’t go too crazy, but I legitimately think Gaethje wins an attrition battle.

The rest of the main card is full of fights that could go pear-shaped for either combatant in an instant, so steer clear.

UFC Fight Night 135 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Andrew Sanchez: $ 63 to make $ 60
  • Single bet — Justin Gaethje: $ 50 to make $ 65

Justin Gaethje is the definition of must-watch television. In other words, do not miss this!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 135 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC 227 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 227, which is set to hit Staples Center in Los Angeles, Calif., this weekend (Sat., Aug. 4, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Two big rematches headline the latest Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) excursion to Staples Center in Los Angeles, Calif., this Saturday (Aug. 4, 2018) when T.J. Dillashaw and Demetrious Johnson face former knockout victims Cody Garbrandt and Henry Cejudo, respectively, with their titles on the line.

Earlier that evening on UFC 227’s pay-per-view (PPV) main card, Cub Swanson takes on the surging Renato Moicano, top prospect Polyana Viana pits her Brazilian jiu-jitsu chops against JJ Aldrich’s striking, and Middleweight knockout machine Thiago Santos formally welcomes “Tuesday Night Contender Series” competitor Kevin Holland to the Octagon.

UFC 227 is a decent PPV, but the price tag is as bulky as ever. Let’s try and deal with that.

What Went Wrong at UFC on FOX 30?

I desperately underestimated Alex Hernandez. He managed to overpower and wear down a guy in Olivier Aubin-Mercier known for overpowering people and wearing them down. Moreover, he did so in the clinch, which should have been “The Quebec Kid’s” domain. I would never have predicted that outcome and Hernandez deserves commendation.

UFC 227 Odds For The Undercard:

Pedro Munhoz (-255) vs. Brett Johns (+215)
Ricky Simon (-125) vs. Montel Jackson (+105)
Matt Sayles (-110) vs. Sheymon Moraes (-110)
Alex Perez (-140) vs. Jose Torres (+120)
Ricardo Ramos (-225) vs. Kyung Ho Kang (+185)
Weili Zhang (-255) vs. Danielle Taylor (+215)
Marlon Vera (-500) vs. Wuliji Buren (+400)

Thoughts: Jose “Shorty” Torres is the lynchpin of this weeks’ efforts, though there’s also value in Brett Johns and Kyung Ho Kang.

Torres is legitimately one of the best prospects in the entire sport, a two-division Titan FC champion who racked up multiple quality scalps in the span of two years. Though he had trouble in his debut, that was on short notice, and he’d been prepping for a fight at 145 pounds at the time and thus had to shed a lot of weight very quickly. He looks to be better than Perez wherever the fight goes; jump on this underdog line before people realize just how good this kid is.

I’m not sure Brett Johns can pull you the win on Saturday, but he should not be a two-to-one underdog. Munhoz’s punching power and lethal submission game are hamstrung by the fact that he never developed a cohesive striking attack or quality takedowns. Johns’ wrestling is rock-solid and, even if his usual grinding style is too risky to employ in the face of “The Young Punisher’s” guillotine, he should be able to hold his own on the feet. Both Justin Scoggins and Rob Font were getting the better of Munhoz on the feet before giving him their necks, after all, and Johns has shown the durability to take Munhoz’s punches without panicking. Worth a look, at least.

Kyung Ho Kang is a brilliantly entertaining fighter with a truckload of flaws, boasting the skills to overpower ostensibly superior opposition while occasionally struggling against people he should by all rights destroy. The key here is that he’s gigantic and extremely strong for the weight, looking a damn sight thicker than Ramos despite also being 5’9”. When Michinori Tanaka, whom Kang had a terrific battle with, committed to his takedowns, he had success grinding on Ramos. Kang may or may not be able to do the same, but it’s worth taking a look it.

UFC 227 Odds For The Main Card:

T.J. Dillashaw (-115) vs. Cody Garbrandt (-105)
Demetrious Johnson (-485) vs. Henry Cejudo (+385)
Renato Moicano (-400) vs. Cub Swanson (+325)
Polyana Viana (-255) vs. JJ Aldrich (+215)
Thiago Santos (-370) vs. Kevin Holland (+310)

Thoughts: Main card’s a little light on bargains, all things considered. I still think Kyoji Horiguchi is the only Flyweight alive who can challenge Demetrious Johnson at the moment, though, so you could superglue “Mighty Mouse” to another bet if you think the minimal boost is worth it.

UFC 227 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Jose Torres: Bet $ 60 to make $ 72
  • Single bet — Brett Johns: Bet $ 30 to make $ 64.50
  • Single bet — Kyung Ho Kang: Bet $ 30 to make $ 55.50

UFC 227 features two big championship rematches, loads of prospects, and some guaranteed slobberknockers that make this a worthwhile investment. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 227 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC ‘Hamburg’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 134, which is set to hit Barclaycard Arena in Hamburg, Germany, this weekend (Sun., July 22, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more! 

I don’t know if it’ll be a black sabbath, but I’m assuming there will be several shades of red involved.

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) hits Hamburg this Sunday for UFC Fight Night 134, live on FOX Sports 1. The main event pits the legendary “Shogun” Rua against the surging Anthony Smith, while Glover Teixeira faces Corey Anderson in the crossroads co-feature.

Viewers will also get to see local favorite Abu Azaitar against Brazilian knockout artist Vitor Miranda, while Marcin Tybura returns to heavyweight action against Stefan Struve.

Let’s see how much ultimately meaningless material wealth we can squeeze out of this day of rest.

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 133?

The judging, for one, but thankfully the controversy steered well clear of the picks. Back in the black and rarin’ to go.

Undercard:

Nick Hein (-155) vs. Damir Hadzovic (+135)

Emil Meek (-165) vs. Bartosz Fabinski (+145)

Nad Narimani (-240) vs. Khalid Taha (+200)

Justin Ledet (-115) vs. Aleksandar Rakic (-105)

Manny Bermudez (-235) vs. Davey Grant (+195)

Darko Stosic (-260) vs. Jeremy Kimball (+220)

Damian Stasiak (-120) vs. Liu Pingyuan (EVEN)

Thoughts: The line that really stands out to me is Bartosz Fabinski at +145. While Meek has exponentially more name value and Fabinski is coming off a considerable layoff, the style matchup is in the Pole’s favor.

Fabinski is a Judo expert who can easily rack up double digits of takedowns over the course of 15 minutes and is strong enough to manhandle Middleweights. Meek, meanwhile, has been taken down 11 times in two UFC appearances. As dangerous as Meek is on the feet, Fabinski isn’t going to give him the time or space to get comfortable. Unless Meek can recreate his upset of Rousimar Palhares and drill Fabinski with elbows as he changes levels for his umpteenth double-leg, Fabinski’s going to throw him around all night.

Nick Hein seems to be worth a look as well. Hadzovic has had approximately three cumulative seconds in the UFC in which he was winning a fight, while Hein beat Drew Dober and was competitive against James Vick. Don’t put too much, as Hadzovic has height and reach on him, but it’s worth considering.

Main Card:

Anthony Smith (-225) vs. Mauricio Rua (+185)

Glover Teixeira (-170) vs. Corey Anderson (+150)

Abu Azaitar (-185) vs. Vitor Miranda (+160)

Marcin Tybura (-245) vs. Stefan Struve (+205)

Marc Diakiese (-190) vs. Nasrat Haqparast (+165)

Danny Roberts (-380) vs. David Zawada (+315)

Thoughts: Not nearly as confident in this pick as I am of Fabinski, but Vitor Miranda looks undervalued to me. Abu Azaitar has been out of action for nearly two years and looked iffy in his last two bouts. He’s also massively outgunned on the feet in both technique and power, and though he can wrestle, the fact that he can make Welterweight and is fighting a former Light Heavyweight suggests that he’ll struggle to muscle “Lex Luthor” to the mat.

Miranda’s 40 years old and seriously lacks urgency in his fights, but his finishing ability is enough to make him a bargain.

Best bets for UFC Fight Night 134:

Single bet-Bartosz Fabinski: $ 60 to make $ 87

Single bet-Nick Hein: $ 40 to make $ 25.80

Single bet-Vitor Miranda: $ 40 to make $ 64

Just because you’re not supposed to exert yourself on Sunday doesn’t mean you can’t watch others do it. See you then, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300

Current Total: $ 360.02

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UFC 226 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 226, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., July 7, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

At long last, a massive Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) pay-per-view (PPV) event hits T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., July 7, 2018) as Stipe Miocic defends his Heavyweight title against Light Heavyweight kingpin Daniel Cormier in the main event of UFC 226. Earlier in the evening, Max Holloway defends his Featherweight title against Brian Ortega and Derrick Lewis takes on Francis Ngannou in a Heavyweight grudge match.

I’m sure you will do a lot of things you regret on this Fourth of July, but let’s do something smart to wash that sour taste out of your mouth.

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 132?

I really should have learned not to put my faith in Felipe Arantes by now. At least he retired, thus keeping me from making an ass of myself again. Not that I won’t find a way to do so without his help, but at least this cuts off one avenue.

UFC 226 Odds For The Undercard:

Paulo Costa (-420) vs. Uriah Hall (+335)
Paul Felder (-160) vs. Mike Perry (+140)
Raphael Assuncao (-170) vs. Rob Font (+150)
Curtis Milender (-165) vs. Max Griffin (+145)
Dan Hooker (-125) vs. Gilbert Burns (+105)
Lando Vannata (-185) vs. Drakkar Klose (+160)
Jamie Moyle (-200) vs. Emily Whitmire (+170)

Thoughts: The meat of UFC 226’s bargains are on the main card, but there’s still some profit to be found, namely in Jamie Moyle. Indeed, Emily Whitmire has yet to beat a competent opponent in the professional ranks and even a four-inch height advantage isn’t enough to convince me that she has anything for Moyle. The latter’s wrestling and striking aren’t up to snuff and — considering she fought at 115 pounds before her The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) bid — I doubt Whitmire’s time at 125 pounds will prove a deciding factor.

UFC 226 Odds For The Main Card:

Stipe Miocic (-250) vs. Daniel Cormier (+210)
Max Holloway (-145) vs. Brian Ortega (+125)
Francis Ngannou (-370) vs. Derrick Lewis (+310)
Michael Chiesa (-160) vs. Anthony Pettis (+140)
Gokhan Saki (-135) vs. Khalil Rountree (+115)

Thoughts: The fact that my “Prelims” undercard pick percentage far outstrips my betting percentage suggests that my best course of action is to have faith in my pics. As such, my recommendation is to put everything on Max Holloway.

When I see Holloway, I see a dynasty in the making. He is a truly special fighter, one whom I see dominating the Featherweight rankings before carving a legacy at Lightweight. As good as Brian Ortega is, none of his customary strategies look fit to work here — Holloway does not get tired, does not surrender takedowns, and is clever enough to avoid the protracted clinch engagements that Ortega thrives in. For all I’ve lost betting against Ortega in the past, my faith in Holloway outstrips my shame.

Other than that, I’ll repeat my bet on Michael Chiesa that Conor McGregor’s dolly shenanigans disrupted last time out. Anthony Pettis is a solved game at this point and Chiesa’s durability and wrestling present a challenge I’m not convinced he can overcome.

UFC 226 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Jamie Moyle: Bet $ 100 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — Max Holloway: Bet $ 145 to make $ 100
  • Single bet — Michael Chiesa: Bet $ 80 to make $ 50

UFC 226 has all the potential to be one for the ages … enough said. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 226 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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