Tag Archive for betting

Khabib Betting Favorite Over McGregor For UFC 229 Title Fight

The mixed martial arts (MMA) gods delivered us a massive title fight between UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and Conor McGregor. Now it is time to enjoy the ride and soak of the fun before the two stars collide at UFC 229 on Oct. 6 in Las Vegas.

Just hours after the fight was announced at the UFC 25th anniversary press conference in Los Angeles, Calif., oddsmakers were already on the prowl. While the odds are due to change in the coming two months, early numbers show Nurmagomedov as the betting favorite.

According to our buddies over at Bovada, “The Eagle” is currently a -175 favorite to take care of McGregor in his return to the Octagon. On the other side, McGregor comes in as a +145 underdog, which is understandable given his two-year absence from the sport.

While these odds make sense right now, McGregor tends to swing the numbers his way as the fight draws closer. The Irishman’s mind games sometimes play a factor in the way his opponents enter a bout, so it will be interesting to see how Khabib stomachs the verbal lashing McGregor is about to unleash.

In McGregor’s case, he’s about to face the worst possible matchup on the 155-pound roster. If there’s anything McGregor is less qualified to do it’s fighting off his back. Khabib is likely to enforce that reality at UFC 229 so “Notorious” better come with a new bag of tricks. After all, Khabib is planning on taking McGregor down 100 times.

Of course, McGregor could always flip the script and stun Khabib early with a left hand to recapture the UFC lightweight title.

Everything is a possibility, folks. But for now, Khabib is the betting favorite to retain his lightweight belt at UFC 229.

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The Betting Line For St-Pierre Vs Diaz Might Surprise You

Not that I was expecting some Cyborg-Smith type shit, but I certainly thought Georges St-Pierre would be a much bigger favorite over Nate Diaz — even at lightweight — for their proposed bout at UFC 227 in August.

Instead, “Rush” opened at -200 against +160 for Diaz, according to Bovada. Nothing is official at this time, but promotion president recently teased the French-Canadian’s return, assuming these lingering issues have been rectified.

St-Pierre already held gold at both welterweight and middleweight, so it’s not unreasonable to think that a trip down to 155 pounds could land him yet another legacy fight title shot. He first has to make the weight, then win, and Diaz certainly won’t make it easy.

Then again, maybe he will, based on what we saw here.

UFC 227 could also feature the light heavyweight showdown between Luke Rockhold and Alexander Gustafsson, with the winner expected to challenge Daniel Cormier for the 205-pound strap later this year.

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CM Punk Opens As Betting Underdog Against Mike Jackson At UFC 225

The mixed martial arts (MMA) return of CM Punk is a highly-anticipated one, which is why combat fans were excited to see the former WWE superstar officially booked to fight Mike Jackson at UFC 225 on June 9 live on pay-per-view (PPV) from inside United Center in Chicago, Illinois.

It will be just the second time that Punk is fighting professionally, having lost to Mickey Gall via first-round submission at UFC 203 back in 2016.

Despite reports that Punk is making huge strides in training, oddsmakers are still selling the former professional wrestler short when it comes to his chances of defeating Jackson this June.

According to recent betting lines put out by Bovada (h/t Damon Martin), Punk is currently slated as a +200 underdog, while Jackson comes in as a -260 favorite. That means a $ 100 bet on Punk will win you $ 200. Not too shabby, especially since the former WWE star is competing in front of his hometown crowd.

While Punk showed little skill in his debut against Gall 19 months ago, it’s surprising that Jackson is such a heavy favorite. Oddsmakers may be scared to level the playing field considering Punk is six years older, but Jackson is 0-1 in his professional career as well. That loss came against Gall, too, and lasted 90 seconds less than Punk’s debut.

Still, the oddsmakers have spoken. Assuming there’s going to be heavy promotion around this fight leading up to UFC 225, Punk’s +200 tag could come down as we draw closer to fight week. But who knows, maybe the pro wrestler really is just that outmatched, both on paper and inside of the Octagon.

UFC 225 will be headlined by a middleweight title rematch pitting current UFC champion Robert Whittaker against Cuban dynamo Yoel Romero. The card will also feature a co-main event tilt between Rafael dos Anjos and Colby Covington for the interim welterweight title, while former UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm welcomes Megan Anderson to the Octagon in a featherweight affair.

For more UFC 225 fight card news click here.

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CM Punk Opens As Betting Underdog Against Mike Jackson At UFC 225

The mixed martial arts (MMA) return of CM Punk is a highly-anticipated one, which is why combat fans were excited to see the former WWE superstar officially booked to fight Mike Jackson at UFC 225 on June 9 live on pay-per-view (PPV) from inside United Center in Chicago, Illinois.

It will be just the second time that Punk is fighting professionally, having lost to Mickey Gall via first-round submission at UFC 203 back in 2016.

Despite reports that Punk is making huge strides in training, oddsmakers are still selling the former professional wrestler short when it comes to his chances of defeating Jackson this June.

According to recent betting lines put out by Bovada (h/t Damon Martin), Punk is currently slated as a +200 underdog, while Jackson comes in as a -260 favorite. That means a $ 100 bet on Punk will win you $ 200. Not too shabby, especially since the former WWE star is competing in front of his hometown crowd.

While Punk showed little skill in his debut against Gall 19 months ago, it’s surprising that Jackson is such a heavy favorite. Oddsmakers may be scared to level the playing field considering Punk is six years older, but Jackson is 0-1 in his professional career as well. That loss came against Gall, too, and lasted 90 seconds less than Punk’s debut.

Still, the oddsmakers have spoken. Assuming there’s going to be heavy promotion around this fight leading up to UFC 225, Punk’s +200 tag could come down as we draw closer to fight week. But who knows, maybe the pro wrestler really is just that outmatched, both on paper and inside of the Octagon.

UFC 225 will be headlined by a middleweight title rematch pitting current UFC champion Robert Whittaker against Cuban dynamo Yoel Romero. The card will also feature a co-main event tilt between Rafael dos Anjos and Colby Covington for the interim welterweight title, while former UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm welcomes Megan Anderson to the Octagon in a featherweight affair.

For more UFC 225 fight card news click here.

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CM Punk Huge Betting Favorite Over Floyd Mayweather

What happens when MMA math intersects with the logic of WWE and boxing math?

You get idiotic articles like this one (penned by idiotic authors like me) talking about a former pro wrestling champion beating a retired boxing kingpin who is already embroiled in a feud with a current MMA titleholder.

Let me see if I have this right.

Paulie Malignaggi would get creamed by everyone in UFC except CM Punk (says this guy), but Punk is the odds-on favorite to beat aspiring cage fighter Floyd Mayweather Jr., who is the betting underdog to Conor McGregor, who already lost to “Money” last August.

WTF?

When asked to justify the -300 line for Punk — real name Phil Brooks — the penny pinchers at BetDSI told Bloody Elbow that “Money” (+220) would get shortchanged on the ground, based on his opponent’s size and grappling advantage.

To his credit, the welterweight Punk does have extensive jiu-jitsu training.

If and when Brooks does make his Octagon return, which is designed to make up for this one-round laugher, it’s likely to be at the UFC 225 pay-per-view (PPV) event in his backyard of Chicago (against this warm body), and Mayweather only fights in Las Vegas.

For billions of dollars.

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UFC 221 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide for ‘Rockhold vs Romero’

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 221, which is set to hit Perth Arena in Perth, Australia, this weekend (Sat., Feb. 10, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

I have a feeling we’re going to hear the word “athletic” a lot …

Former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Middleweight champion, Luke Rockhold, gets another shot at the gold (albeit “interim”) this Saturday evening (Feb. 10, 2018) when he faces Cuban superhuman, Yoel Romero, in UFC 221’s pay-per-view (PPV) main event from inside Perth Arena in Perth, Australia.

Also in town are local heroes Mark Hunt, who takes on rising prospect Curtis Blaydes, and Tai Tuivasa, who throws down with Cyril Asker.

It’s almost Valentine’s Day, which means you need some extra dough to get something nice for that special someone. Here’s how to get it:

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 125?

Well, I guess the karma for the Kim vs. Kish decision had to come from somewhere. I thought Tim Means clearly won the last two rounds against Sergio Moraes, but the judges disagreed, and without John Dodson, the other successful bets weren’t enough to cover the loss. Dumb luck giveth and it taketh away.

UFC 221 Odds For The Undercard:

Dong Hyun Kim (-155) vs. Damien Brown (+135)
Israel Adesanya (-300) vs. Rob Wilkinson (+250)
Alex Volkanovski (-170) vs. Jeremy Kennedy (+150)
Jussier Formiga (-130) vs. Ben Nguyen (+110)
Ross Pearson (-145) vs. Mizuto Hirota (+125)
Jose Quinonez (-220) vs. Teruto Ishihara (+180)
Daichi Abe (-130) vs. Luke Jumeau (+110)

Thoughts: You know what? I think it’s Ben Nguyen’s time.

Since his loss to Louis Smolka, Nguyen’s scrambling and counter-wrestling have improved leaps and bounds. Combined with his athleticism and stunning punching power, he’s become a legitimate threat to the division. I thought he had a real shot against Joseph Benavidez before that fight fell through and I believe his speed and power will carry him past Formiga. Aside from “Ben 10,” Dong Hyun Kim seems like a safe investment. He’s a proven scrapper who can hold his own on the feet and a sufficiently skilled takedown artist to keep Brown guessing all night.

UFC 221 Odds For The Main Card:

Luke Rockhold (-140) vs. Yoel Romero (+130)
Curtis Blaydes (-155) vs. Mark Hunt (+135)
Tai Tuivasa (-280) vs. Cyril Asker (+240)
Li Jingliang (-190) vs. Jake Matthews (+165)
Tyson Pedro (-265) vs. Saparbek Safarov (+225)

Thoughts: Putting Li Jingliang and Tyson Pedro together produces positive odds, so let’s work with that.

The majority of the mixed martial arts (MMA) media believe that Jake Matthews deserved the “L” in his Welterweight debut against Bojan Velickovic. And while I had it for Matthews, it wasn’t exactly a heartening performance. Li can match Velickovic’s prodigious strength and offers a cleaner, more powerful striking attack to back it up. I fully expect Li to tear up Matthews on the feet and hold his own in the grappling.

I know this sounds mean, but I believe any Light Heavyweight who can’t comfortably beat Gian Villante does not belong in UFC. Even giving Safarov the benefit of the doubt for it being a short-notice fight, that just wasn’t enough to sway me. Pedro’s striking is significantly smoother than Villante’s and his takedowns ought to be more than sufficient to overpower Safarov should the stand up get too hairy for him.

UFC 221 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Ben Nguyen: Bet $ 50 to make $ 55
  • Single bet — Dong Hyun Kim: Bet $ 77.50 to make $ 50
  • Parlay — Li Jingliang and Tyson Pedro: Bet $ 70 to make $ 77

Luke Rockhold vs. Yoel Romero is the stuff dreams and highlight reels are made of. The rest? Well, that’s up to you. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 221 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 803.27

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UFC on FOX 27 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide for ‘Jacare vs Brunson 2’

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC on FOX 27, which is set to hit Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C., this weekend (Sat., Jan. 27, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Methinks someone is going down for an early nap this weekend …

More than half a decade after their Strikeforce showdown ended in 41 seconds, Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Middleweight finishers Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza and Derek Brunson will duke it out once again in UFC on FOX 27’s main event this Saturday evening (Jan. 27, 2018) in Charlotte’s Spectrum Center.

One fight prior, Dennis Bermudez looks to snap a two-fight losing streak against Andre Fili, who has yet to win consecutive fights in UFC. The main card will also feature blue-chip prospect Gregor Gillespie — who was last seen winning “Fight of the Night” — against Jordan Rinaldi, as well as a fun Lightweight battle between Drew Dober and Frank Camacho.

As usual for a FOX show, it’ll be an early start, so here’s how to brighten up that afternoon:

What Went Wrong at UFC 220?

Fair play to Kyle Bochniak. He fought the perfect fight to shut down Brandon Davis’ offense and landed an impressive amount of damage along the way. It was easily his best UFC performance to date and suggests that — in spite of my naysaying — he has a future in the division after all.

UFC on FOX 27 Odds For The Undercard:

Bobby Green (-155) vs. Erik Koch (+135)
Mirsad Bektic (-600) vs. Godofredo Pepey (+450)
Katlyn Chookagian (-160) vs. Mara Romero Borella (+140)
Randa Markos (-160) vs. Juliana Lima (+140)
Justine Kish (-325) vs. Ji Yeon Kim (+265)
Vinc Pichel (-110) vs. Joaquim Silva (-110)
Niko Price (-250) vs. George Sullivan (+210)
Austin Arnett (N/A) vs. Cory Sandhagen (N/A)

Thoughts: Short on star power, short on bargains. Ji Yeon Kim is worth a bit, though more as a “well, it might happen” than a sure-fire success, and Vinc Pichel has the style to win his fight with relatively little issue.

Justine Kish is an incredibly limited fighter. She’s iffy with her hands, hopeless off of her back, and relies on just straight-up overpowering people to bully her way into the clinch or into top control. Kim’s toolbox isn’t terribly deep, either, but she puts together better combinations and will be Kim’s first opponent who is as big as she is. It’s worth putting a bit on the underdog.

In Joaquim Silva’s last fight, he showed that he could be controlled on the mat without too much issue. And while Pichel isn’t as credentialed a wrestler as Reza Madadi, he’s exponentially more dangerous on the feet, which should make up the difference. Provided he doesn’t stay too passive, this is an extremely winnable fight for him.

UFC on FOX 27 Odds For The Main Card:

Ronaldo Souza (-150) vs. Derek Brunson (+130)
Dennis Bermudez (-155) vs. Andre Fili (+135)
Gregor Gillespie (-600) vs. Jordan Rinaldi (+450)
Drew Dober (-175) vs. Frank Camacho (+155)

Thoughts: Nah …

UFC on FOX 27 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Ji Yeon Kim: Bet $ 40 to make $ 106
  • Single bet — Vinc Pichel: Bet $ 77 to make $ 70

UFC’s Middleweight division is the hottest it’s been in ages — you don’t want to miss any of the action in the Top 10. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC on FOX 27 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 639.34

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UFC Fight Night 124 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide for ‘Stephens vs Choi’

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 124, which is set to hit Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Mo., this weekend (Sun., Jan. 14, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

Bangfest!

Two heavy hitters attempt to crack the increasingly volatile Featherweight elite this Sunday evening (Jan. 14, 2018) when the “Korean Superboy,” Doo Ho Choi, throws down with Jeremy Stephens in St. Louis, Mo., in UFC Fight Night 124’s main event of the evening. The supporting cast on FOX Sports 1’s main card includes Uriah Hall vs. Vitor Velfort, Paige VanZant vs. Jessica Rose-Clark and Kamaru Usman vs. Emil Meek.

What better way to start the New Year than with some extra dough? Here’s how to bank some early spending money:

What Went Wrong at UFC 219?

For a night that turned a profit, quite a bit. Louis Smolka got decimated on the feet and never even tried a takedown, while Khalil Rountree gassed out in three minutes. I can’t blame the Marc Diakiese failure on an idiotic gameplan, though — I genuinely underestimated Dan Hooker. He has come a long way since getting torn to shreds by Maximo Blanco and I’m looking forward to his future in the Lightweight division.

It was a rough year, but we ended up just barely in the black. Considering how much better things went with a bigger infusion, let’s go with a bit more starting money this time around. How’s $ 300 sound?

UFC Fight Night 124 Odds For The Undercard:

Michael Johnson (-150) vs. Darren Elkins (+130)
James Krause (-155) vs. Alex White (+135)
Matt Frevola (-230) vs. Polo Reyes (+190)
Zak Cummings (-210) vs. Thiago Alves (+175)
Jessica Eye (-115) vs. Kalindra Faria (-105)
Irene Aldana (-230) vs. Talita Bernardo (+190)
Kyung Ho Kang (-335) vs. Guido Cannetti (+275)
J.J. Aldrich (-130) vs. Danielle Taylor (+110)
Mike Santiago (-170) vs. Mads Burnell (+150)

Thoughts: I think Thiago Alves still has some life left in him, honestly. I was ready to write him off after the Jim Miller debacle, but he looked extremely composed and effective against Patrick Cote. Cummings is a level above “The Predator,” to be sure, but he can be outmaneuvered on the feet and has yet to beat a striker of Alves’ caliber. In addition, Alves generally has rock-solid takedown defense, which should let him shut down Cummings’ wrestling offense and batter his lead leg into submission.

Besides Alves, James Krause and Kyung Ho Kang are worth a look. While Alex White is tough and gritty, Krause is better-rounded and has a two-inch height advantage. As far as Kang, he’s an exponentially better grappler than Cannetti and — while he’s coming off a huge layoff because of mandatory military service — the Argentinian hasn’t fought since 2015 and is almost 40. It’s all “Mr. Perfect” here.

UFC Fight Night 124 Odds For The Main Card:

Doo Ho Choi (-155) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+135)
Uriah Hall (-300) vs. Vitor Belfort (+250)
Jessica-Rose Clark (-125) vs. Paige VanZant (+105)
Kamaru Usman (-600) vs. Emil Meek (+450)

Thoughts: The favorites in the bottom two fights seem to be worth a look.

I honestly think things are going to get worse for Paige VanZant before they get better. The way she blatantly avoided a fight with Jessica Eye and her struggles in her last three fights are all bad signs. Further, her style is reliant on physically overpowering people in the clinch, which should be more difficult at 125 pounds.

In other words, “Jessy-Jess” is a solid investment.

Kamaru Usman might be champion material. I thoroughly believe he’d smash Colby Covington and give Tyron Woodley everything he could handle. Meek, for all his badassery, just isn’t on his level. Usman by beating.

UFC Fight Night 124 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Thiago Alves: Bet $ 60 to make $ 105
  • Parlay — Kyung Ho Kang and James Krause: Bet $ 80 to make $ 91.20
  • Parlay — Jessica Rose-Clark and Kamaru Usman: Bet $ 77 to make $ 70.64

Jeremy Stephens vs. Doo Ho Choi is can’t-miss slobber knocker and the rest of the card is littered with quality match ups. See you Sunday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 124 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2017: $ 200 (+$ 400 infusion)
Final Total: $ 725.29

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UFC Fight Night 124 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide for ‘Stephens vs Choi’

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 124, which is set to hit Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Mo., this weekend (Sun., Jan. 14, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

Bangfest!

Two heavy hitters attempt to crack the increasingly volatile Featherweight elite this Sunday evening (Jan. 14, 2018) when the “Korean Superboy,” Doo Ho Choi, throws down with Jeremy Stephens in St. Louis, Mo., in UFC Fight Night 124’s main event of the evening. The supporting cast on FOX Sports 1’s main card includes Uriah Hall vs. Vitor Velfort, Paige VanZant vs. Jessica Rose-Clark and Kamaru Usman vs. Emil Meek.

What better way to start the New Year than with some extra dough? Here’s how to bank some early spending money:

What Went Wrong at UFC 219?

For a night that turned a profit, quite a bit. Louis Smolka got decimated on the feet and never even tried a takedown, while Khalil Rountree gassed out in three minutes. I can’t blame the Marc Diakiese failure on an idiotic gameplan, though — I genuinely underestimated Dan Hooker. He has come a long way since getting torn to shreds by Maximo Blanco and I’m looking forward to his future in the Lightweight division.

It was a rough year, but we ended up just barely in the black. Considering how much better things went with a bigger infusion, let’s go with a bit more starting money this time around. How’s $ 300 sound?

UFC Fight Night 124 Odds For The Undercard:

Michael Johnson (-150) vs. Darren Elkins (+130)
James Krause (-155) vs. Alex White (+135)
Matt Frevola (-230) vs. Polo Reyes (+190)
Zak Cummings (-210) vs. Thiago Alves (+175)
Jessica Eye (-115) vs. Kalindra Faria (-105)
Irene Aldana (-230) vs. Talita Bernardo (+190)
Kyung Ho Kang (-335) vs. Guido Cannetti (+275)
J.J. Aldrich (-130) vs. Danielle Taylor (+110)
Mike Santiago (-170) vs. Mads Burnell (+150)

Thoughts: I think Thiago Alves still has some life left in him, honestly. I was ready to write him off after the Jim Miller debacle, but he looked extremely composed and effective against Patrick Cote. Cummings is a level above “The Predator,” to be sure, but he can be outmaneuvered on the feet and has yet to beat a striker of Alves’ caliber. In addition, Alves generally has rock-solid takedown defense, which should let him shut down Cummings’ wrestling offense and batter his lead leg into submission.

Besides Alves, James Krause and Kyung Ho Kang are worth a look. While Alex White is tough and gritty, Krause is better-rounded and has a two-inch height advantage. As far as Kang, he’s an exponentially better grappler than Cannetti and — while he’s coming off a huge layoff because of mandatory military service — the Argentinian hasn’t fought since 2015 and is almost 40. It’s all “Mr. Perfect” here.

UFC Fight Night 124 Odds For The Main Card:

Doo Ho Choi (-155) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+135)
Uriah Hall (-300) vs. Vitor Belfort (+250)
Jessica-Rose Clark (-125) vs. Paige VanZant (+105)
Kamaru Usman (-600) vs. Emil Meek (+450)

Thoughts: The favorites in the bottom two fights seem to be worth a look.

I honestly think things are going to get worse for Paige VanZant before they get better. The way she blatantly avoided a fight with Jessica Eye and her struggles in her last three fights are all bad signs. Further, her style is reliant on physically overpowering people in the clinch, which should be more difficult at 125 pounds.

In other words, “Jessy-Jess” is a solid investment.

Kamaru Usman might be champion material. I thoroughly believe he’d smash Colby Covington and give Tyron Woodley everything he could handle. Meek, for all his badassery, just isn’t on his level. Usman by beating.

UFC Fight Night 124 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Thiago Alves: Bet $ 60 to make $ 105
  • Parlay — Kyung Ho Kang and James Krause: Bet $ 80 to make $ 91.20
  • Parlay — Jessica Rose-Clark and Kamaru Usman: Bet $ 77 to make $ 70.64

Jeremy Stephens vs. Doo Ho Choi is can’t-miss slobber knocker and the rest of the card is littered with quality match ups. See you Sunday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 124 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2017: $ 200 (+$ 400 infusion)
Final Total: $ 725.29

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UFC 219 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide for ‘Cyborg vs Holm’

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 219, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., Dec. 30, 2017), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) ends 2017 in violent fashion this Saturday evening (Dec. 30, 2017) as women’s Featherweight champion Cris “Cyborg” looks for a career-best win against former Bantamweight roost ruler Holly Holm in UFC 219’s pay-per-view (PPV) main event from inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Ten pounds north, Khabib Nurmagomedov dukes it out with fellow Lightweight thrashing monger Edson Barboza, while Neil Magny welcomes perennial Welterweight contender Carlos Condit back to the cage another 15 pounds up.

Take a break from returning unwanted socks and pull up a chair … let’s break this sucker down.

What Went Wrong at UFC on FOX 26?

John Makdessi and Rafael dos Anjos dominated, as expected. I really should have been more confident in them. Instead, I put my faith in Jared Cannonier, who could have beaten Jan Blachowicz had he not been content to walk face-first into jabs for 10 minutes without a single adjustment.

Nice strategy, Jared.

Still, we’re back in the black. The smart thing to do would be to play cautiously, but where’s the fun in that? Let’s swing for the fences!

UFC 219 Odds For The Undercard:

Khalil Rountree (-290) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+245)
Marc Diakiese (-175) vs. Dan Hooker (+155)
Myles Jury (-240) vs. Rick Glenn (+200)
Matheus Nicolau (-300) vs. Louis Smolka (+250)
Tim Elliott (-220) vs. Mark De La Rosa (+180)
Marvin Vettori (220) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+180)

Thoughts: Someone explain to me why Louis Smolka is the second-biggest underdog on the card. Yes, he’s lost three straight, but those were to Brandon Moreno, Ray Borg and Tim Elliott. Nicolau, meanwhile, barely beat the worst version of John Moraga we’ve seen in UFC and has been out of action for more than one year.

Nicolau is definitely slick and looks to be the smoother and more powerful boxer, but he’s nowhere near the wrestler Borg and Elliott are. I think “The Last Samurai” gets back in the win column here, so put a bit on him.

Other than that, Marc Diakiese is a little undervalued. While Hooker’s as tough as they come, he’s easy to hit, a non-factor off of his back, and will likely be the slower man in the cage. After watching Diakiese manhandle fellow Lightweight fighters with ease, I’m confident in his ability to overpower his Kiwi foe. Oh, and get Diakiese to positive odds with Khalil Rountree, who is going to punch a hole through Oleksiejczuk’s face.

UFC 219 Odds For The Main Card:

Cristiane Justino (-360) vs. Holly Holm (+325)
Khabib Nurmagomedov (-280) vs. Edson Barboza (+240)
Cynthia Calvillo (-255) vs. Carla Esparza (+215)
Carlos Condit (-165) vs. Neil Magny (+145)

Thoughts: We’re playing underdogs here: Carla Esparza and Neil Magny.

Cynthia Calvillo is undoubtedly a top prospect. That said, the stylistic match up is not in her favor — Esparza, while unlikely to ever hold the title again, remains one of the division’s best wrestlers. She can put Calvillo on her back and keep here there for large chunks of the fight, which is enough for me to pick her here.

Carlos Condit is coming out of “retirement,” which is always hit-or-miss, and going up against someone with five inches of reach on him and the kind of wrestling that’s ruined “The Natural Born Killer’s” day so many times before. This is just a rough match up for Condit and would be one even if he wasn’t coming off a 16-month layoff.

UFC 219 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Louis Smolka: Bet $ 100 to make $ 250
  • Parlay — Marc Diakiese and Khalil Rountree Jr.: Bet $ 100 to make $ 111
  • Single bet — Carla Esparza: Bet $ 60 to make $ 129
  • Single bet — Neil Magny: Bet $ 100 to make $ 145

Cyborg vs. Holm and Nurmagomedov vs. Barboza … on the same card? Sold! See you Saturday, Maniacs.

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 219 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2017: $ 200 (+$ 400 infusion)
Current Total: $ 651.29

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