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UFC 227 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 227, which is set to hit Staples Center in Los Angeles, Calif., this weekend (Sat., Aug. 4, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Two big rematches headline the latest Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) excursion to Staples Center in Los Angeles, Calif., this Saturday (Aug. 4, 2018) when T.J. Dillashaw and Demetrious Johnson face former knockout victims Cody Garbrandt and Henry Cejudo, respectively, with their titles on the line.

Earlier that evening on UFC 227’s pay-per-view (PPV) main card, Cub Swanson takes on the surging Renato Moicano, top prospect Polyana Viana pits her Brazilian jiu-jitsu chops against JJ Aldrich’s striking, and Middleweight knockout machine Thiago Santos formally welcomes “Tuesday Night Contender Series” competitor Kevin Holland to the Octagon.

UFC 227 is a decent PPV, but the price tag is as bulky as ever. Let’s try and deal with that.

What Went Wrong at UFC on FOX 30?

I desperately underestimated Alex Hernandez. He managed to overpower and wear down a guy in Olivier Aubin-Mercier known for overpowering people and wearing them down. Moreover, he did so in the clinch, which should have been “The Quebec Kid’s” domain. I would never have predicted that outcome and Hernandez deserves commendation.

UFC 227 Odds For The Undercard:

Pedro Munhoz (-255) vs. Brett Johns (+215)
Ricky Simon (-125) vs. Montel Jackson (+105)
Matt Sayles (-110) vs. Sheymon Moraes (-110)
Alex Perez (-140) vs. Jose Torres (+120)
Ricardo Ramos (-225) vs. Kyung Ho Kang (+185)
Weili Zhang (-255) vs. Danielle Taylor (+215)
Marlon Vera (-500) vs. Wuliji Buren (+400)

Thoughts: Jose “Shorty” Torres is the lynchpin of this weeks’ efforts, though there’s also value in Brett Johns and Kyung Ho Kang.

Torres is legitimately one of the best prospects in the entire sport, a two-division Titan FC champion who racked up multiple quality scalps in the span of two years. Though he had trouble in his debut, that was on short notice, and he’d been prepping for a fight at 145 pounds at the time and thus had to shed a lot of weight very quickly. He looks to be better than Perez wherever the fight goes; jump on this underdog line before people realize just how good this kid is.

I’m not sure Brett Johns can pull you the win on Saturday, but he should not be a two-to-one underdog. Munhoz’s punching power and lethal submission game are hamstrung by the fact that he never developed a cohesive striking attack or quality takedowns. Johns’ wrestling is rock-solid and, even if his usual grinding style is too risky to employ in the face of “The Young Punisher’s” guillotine, he should be able to hold his own on the feet. Both Justin Scoggins and Rob Font were getting the better of Munhoz on the feet before giving him their necks, after all, and Johns has shown the durability to take Munhoz’s punches without panicking. Worth a look, at least.

Kyung Ho Kang is a brilliantly entertaining fighter with a truckload of flaws, boasting the skills to overpower ostensibly superior opposition while occasionally struggling against people he should by all rights destroy. The key here is that he’s gigantic and extremely strong for the weight, looking a damn sight thicker than Ramos despite also being 5’9”. When Michinori Tanaka, whom Kang had a terrific battle with, committed to his takedowns, he had success grinding on Ramos. Kang may or may not be able to do the same, but it’s worth taking a look it.

UFC 227 Odds For The Main Card:

T.J. Dillashaw (-115) vs. Cody Garbrandt (-105)
Demetrious Johnson (-485) vs. Henry Cejudo (+385)
Renato Moicano (-400) vs. Cub Swanson (+325)
Polyana Viana (-255) vs. JJ Aldrich (+215)
Thiago Santos (-370) vs. Kevin Holland (+310)

Thoughts: Main card’s a little light on bargains, all things considered. I still think Kyoji Horiguchi is the only Flyweight alive who can challenge Demetrious Johnson at the moment, though, so you could superglue “Mighty Mouse” to another bet if you think the minimal boost is worth it.

UFC 227 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Jose Torres: Bet $ 60 to make $ 72
  • Single bet — Brett Johns: Bet $ 30 to make $ 64.50
  • Single bet — Kyung Ho Kang: Bet $ 30 to make $ 55.50

UFC 227 features two big championship rematches, loads of prospects, and some guaranteed slobberknockers that make this a worthwhile investment. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 227 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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Joanna: I Will ‘Never Ever’ Call Rose The Best Strawweight In The World

Former UFC women’s strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk returned to form last night (Sat., July 28, 2018) at UFC on FOX 30 from inside Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, when she defeated formidable contender Tecia Torres via unanimous decision.

Despite dropping her last two Octagon appearances to current divisional champion Rose Namajunas, Jedrzejczyk was able to channel her former dominant self and outclass Torres at almost every turn. Her takedown defense was perfect, her range control kept the smaller Torres at bay, and her Muay Thai once again led the damage count.

As a former champion on the rebound, this was a big step for Jedrzejczyk. Even though she lost to Namajunas in back-to-back contest Jedrzejczyk isn’t ready to address “Thug” as the better fighter, especially after a superb outing against Torres.

“I will not do this,” Jedrzejczyk said at UFC on FOX 30’s post-fight press conference (video replay here). “Never ever. She wants my honor? She must earn that. If she’s going to run, they’re going to make an interim belt. She was saying she’s afraid Conor McGregor will show up again and make a mess like he did before Brooklyn. He is not going to do this. Don’t be afraid, Rose. Come on. Just fight. Just face the best. You should face [Jessica] Andrade.

“If not, I will chase you. If you hold the belt, I will chase you. Until the next fight. That’s it.”

Jedrzejczyk, 30, has only lost to Namajunas in her entire professional mixed martial arts (MMA) career. Her track record and recent performance against “Tiny Tornado” at UFC Calgary would suggest she could lock down another title fight with “Thug,” but history shows that UFC is reluctant to book a trilogy fight if one fighter already holds all the wins.

That doesn’t seem to both the former UFC champion as she believes her legacy at 115 pounds is enough to warrant another shot at Namajunas.

“Rose saying that she will give me the third fight after I will say that she is the best? No way,” Jedrzejczyk said. “Maybe you beat me, and you’re the champion, and you won, but your legacy is not that big. You should bow down because I am the queen. I give her respect.”

For now, Jedrzejczyk will have to put her nose to the grindstone and do whatever the promotion requires her to do to fight again for the women’s strawweight title. Until that day comes, the Polish queen is unwilling to recognize Namajunas as being the better mixed martial artist.

“No way I’ll say Rose is the best,” Jedrzejczyk said. “Maybe you beat me, you’re the champion and you won. But your legacy isn’t that big. You should bow down, because I am the queen.”

For complete UFC Calgary results and coverage click here.

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UFC ‘Hamburg’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 134, which is set to hit Barclaycard Arena in Hamburg, Germany, this weekend (Sun., July 22, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more! 

I don’t know if it’ll be a black sabbath, but I’m assuming there will be several shades of red involved.

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) hits Hamburg this Sunday for UFC Fight Night 134, live on FOX Sports 1. The main event pits the legendary “Shogun” Rua against the surging Anthony Smith, while Glover Teixeira faces Corey Anderson in the crossroads co-feature.

Viewers will also get to see local favorite Abu Azaitar against Brazilian knockout artist Vitor Miranda, while Marcin Tybura returns to heavyweight action against Stefan Struve.

Let’s see how much ultimately meaningless material wealth we can squeeze out of this day of rest.

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 133?

The judging, for one, but thankfully the controversy steered well clear of the picks. Back in the black and rarin’ to go.

Undercard:

Nick Hein (-155) vs. Damir Hadzovic (+135)

Emil Meek (-165) vs. Bartosz Fabinski (+145)

Nad Narimani (-240) vs. Khalid Taha (+200)

Justin Ledet (-115) vs. Aleksandar Rakic (-105)

Manny Bermudez (-235) vs. Davey Grant (+195)

Darko Stosic (-260) vs. Jeremy Kimball (+220)

Damian Stasiak (-120) vs. Liu Pingyuan (EVEN)

Thoughts: The line that really stands out to me is Bartosz Fabinski at +145. While Meek has exponentially more name value and Fabinski is coming off a considerable layoff, the style matchup is in the Pole’s favor.

Fabinski is a Judo expert who can easily rack up double digits of takedowns over the course of 15 minutes and is strong enough to manhandle Middleweights. Meek, meanwhile, has been taken down 11 times in two UFC appearances. As dangerous as Meek is on the feet, Fabinski isn’t going to give him the time or space to get comfortable. Unless Meek can recreate his upset of Rousimar Palhares and drill Fabinski with elbows as he changes levels for his umpteenth double-leg, Fabinski’s going to throw him around all night.

Nick Hein seems to be worth a look as well. Hadzovic has had approximately three cumulative seconds in the UFC in which he was winning a fight, while Hein beat Drew Dober and was competitive against James Vick. Don’t put too much, as Hadzovic has height and reach on him, but it’s worth considering.

Main Card:

Anthony Smith (-225) vs. Mauricio Rua (+185)

Glover Teixeira (-170) vs. Corey Anderson (+150)

Abu Azaitar (-185) vs. Vitor Miranda (+160)

Marcin Tybura (-245) vs. Stefan Struve (+205)

Marc Diakiese (-190) vs. Nasrat Haqparast (+165)

Danny Roberts (-380) vs. David Zawada (+315)

Thoughts: Not nearly as confident in this pick as I am of Fabinski, but Vitor Miranda looks undervalued to me. Abu Azaitar has been out of action for nearly two years and looked iffy in his last two bouts. He’s also massively outgunned on the feet in both technique and power, and though he can wrestle, the fact that he can make Welterweight and is fighting a former Light Heavyweight suggests that he’ll struggle to muscle “Lex Luthor” to the mat.

Miranda’s 40 years old and seriously lacks urgency in his fights, but his finishing ability is enough to make him a bargain.

Best bets for UFC Fight Night 134:

Single bet-Bartosz Fabinski: $ 60 to make $ 87

Single bet-Nick Hein: $ 40 to make $ 25.80

Single bet-Vitor Miranda: $ 40 to make $ 64

Just because you’re not supposed to exert yourself on Sunday doesn’t mean you can’t watch others do it. See you then, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300

Current Total: $ 360.02

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UFC 226 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 226, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., July 7, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

At long last, a massive Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) pay-per-view (PPV) event hits T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., July 7, 2018) as Stipe Miocic defends his Heavyweight title against Light Heavyweight kingpin Daniel Cormier in the main event of UFC 226. Earlier in the evening, Max Holloway defends his Featherweight title against Brian Ortega and Derrick Lewis takes on Francis Ngannou in a Heavyweight grudge match.

I’m sure you will do a lot of things you regret on this Fourth of July, but let’s do something smart to wash that sour taste out of your mouth.

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 132?

I really should have learned not to put my faith in Felipe Arantes by now. At least he retired, thus keeping me from making an ass of myself again. Not that I won’t find a way to do so without his help, but at least this cuts off one avenue.

UFC 226 Odds For The Undercard:

Paulo Costa (-420) vs. Uriah Hall (+335)
Paul Felder (-160) vs. Mike Perry (+140)
Raphael Assuncao (-170) vs. Rob Font (+150)
Curtis Milender (-165) vs. Max Griffin (+145)
Dan Hooker (-125) vs. Gilbert Burns (+105)
Lando Vannata (-185) vs. Drakkar Klose (+160)
Jamie Moyle (-200) vs. Emily Whitmire (+170)

Thoughts: The meat of UFC 226’s bargains are on the main card, but there’s still some profit to be found, namely in Jamie Moyle. Indeed, Emily Whitmire has yet to beat a competent opponent in the professional ranks and even a four-inch height advantage isn’t enough to convince me that she has anything for Moyle. The latter’s wrestling and striking aren’t up to snuff and — considering she fought at 115 pounds before her The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) bid — I doubt Whitmire’s time at 125 pounds will prove a deciding factor.

UFC 226 Odds For The Main Card:

Stipe Miocic (-250) vs. Daniel Cormier (+210)
Max Holloway (-145) vs. Brian Ortega (+125)
Francis Ngannou (-370) vs. Derrick Lewis (+310)
Michael Chiesa (-160) vs. Anthony Pettis (+140)
Gokhan Saki (-135) vs. Khalil Rountree (+115)

Thoughts: The fact that my “Prelims” undercard pick percentage far outstrips my betting percentage suggests that my best course of action is to have faith in my pics. As such, my recommendation is to put everything on Max Holloway.

When I see Holloway, I see a dynasty in the making. He is a truly special fighter, one whom I see dominating the Featherweight rankings before carving a legacy at Lightweight. As good as Brian Ortega is, none of his customary strategies look fit to work here — Holloway does not get tired, does not surrender takedowns, and is clever enough to avoid the protracted clinch engagements that Ortega thrives in. For all I’ve lost betting against Ortega in the past, my faith in Holloway outstrips my shame.

Other than that, I’ll repeat my bet on Michael Chiesa that Conor McGregor’s dolly shenanigans disrupted last time out. Anthony Pettis is a solved game at this point and Chiesa’s durability and wrestling present a challenge I’m not convinced he can overcome.

UFC 226 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Jamie Moyle: Bet $ 100 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — Max Holloway: Bet $ 145 to make $ 100
  • Single bet — Michael Chiesa: Bet $ 80 to make $ 50

UFC 226 has all the potential to be one for the ages … enough said. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 226 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC ‘Singapore’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 131, which is set to hit Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, this weekend (Sat., June 23, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Sleep is for the weak!

It’s back to Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, this weekend (Sat., June 23, 2018) for Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), which brings Welterweight finishers Donald Cerrone and Leon Edwards to the main stage bright and early this Saturday morning. Those early risers will also get to enjoy Tyson Pedro vs. Ovince Saint Preux, Jessica-Rose Clark vs. Jessica Eye and Li Jingliang vs. Daichi Abe.

Mornings suck, but you know what doesn’t suck? Free money! So, let’s get down to business …

What Went Wrong at UFC 225?


Alistair Overeem looked gun-shy and terrified against Curtis Blaydes — someone he should have destroyed in the clinch — but he ended up peeling himself off the canvas a blood-soaked mess (highlights). And Rafael dos Anjos gave ground much more readily than I expected him to against the insufferable Colby Covington, who went on to win the interim 170-pound title via unanimous decision (highlights). I’ve got a 67 percent pick rate in terms of choosing a winner, so I’m clearly doing something wrong when it comes to picking who to bet on. Here’s hoping I figure it out!

UFC Fight Night 132 Odds For The Undercard:

Petr Yan (-475) vs. Teruto Ishihara (+380)
Felipe Arantes (-120) vs. Song Yadong (EVEN)
Shane Young (-165) vs. Rolando Dy (+145)
Song Kenan (-280) vs. Hector Aldana (+240)
Jake Matthews (-550) vs. Shinsho Anzai (+425)
Viviane Pereira (-165) vs. Yan Xiaonan (+145)
Naoki Inoue (-190) vs. Matt Schnell (+165)
Ulka Sasaki (-300) vs. Jenel Lausa (+250)

Thoughts: I’m expecting a bad night for young prospects. Felipe Arantes and Matt Schnell, we’re counting on you.

Song Yadong is an athletic dynamo with a wealth of experience despite being just 20 years old, but he’s still a raw talent going up against a durable, well-rounded veteran. Though Arantes has underperformed in the past, his ability to stand up to heavy firepower is well-documented and he’s the crisper striker of the two, not to mention seriously dangerous on the mat. It would have been nice to catch him when he was an underdog, but the value is still there.

Naoki Inoue is awesome. I’m a huge fan of Naoki Inoue. I’m also cognizant that his wrestling is totally unproven and that beating Carls John de Thomas — who weighed in closer to the Bantamweight limit and whose entire game comprises a double-leg takedown — isn’t enough to prepare him for a Legacy champion. It’s also worth noting that Schnell’s two UFC knockout losses came against a quality Flyweight in Hector Sandoval and one of the Bantamweight division’s most destructive finishers in Rob Font, the latter of whom he fought on short notice. Inoue doesn’t have the tools to exploit Schnell’s key weakness, his chin, and isn’t a strong enough takedown artist to implement his killer Brazilian jiu-jitsu. In short, “Danger” scores the upset.

You can also get positive odds by parlaying Petr Yan, who is awesome, with Arantes or Schnell, so consider it.

UFC Fight Night 132 Odds For The Main Card:

Leon Edwards (-210) vs. Donald Cerrone (+175)
Tyson Pedro (-125) vs. Ovince Saint Preux (+105)
Jessica-Rose Clark (-135) vs. Jessica Eye (+115)
Li Jingliang (-340) vs. Daichi Abe (+280)

Thoughts: All these lines look about right, so props to the oddsmakers. Really not seeing anything unless you’re high on Tyson Pedro, but I’ve been burned betting on Ovince St. Preux fights too many times to try it again. Dude just keeps pulling off bonkers stuff.

UFC Fight Night 132 Best Bets:

  • Parlay — Petr Yan and Felipe Arantes: Bet $ 42 to make $ 51.24
  • Single bet — Matt Schnell: Bet $ 50 to make $ 82.50

There are several fighters competing at UFC Fight Night 132 who are going to get finished in spectacular fashion. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 132 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

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UFC 225 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 225, which is set to hit United Center in Chicago, Ill., this weekend (Sat., June 9, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Two of the most fearsome Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) knockout artists will do battle once again this Saturday evening (June 9, 2018) when the promotion’s Middleweight champion, Robert Whittaker, collides with Yoel Romero in UFC 225’s main event from inside United Center in Chicago, Illinois. Down at Welterweight, former Lightweight champ Rafael dos Anjos faces Colby Covington for the interim title, while Holly Holm welcomes Invicta FC Featherweight champ Megan Anderson to the Octagon one fight prior.

UFC pay-per-view (PPV) events are always a burden on the wallet, but let’s see if we can’t lessen the blow!

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 131?

Nothing … besides New York State Athletic Commission (NYSAC) pulling Jessica Aguilar out of an extremely winnable fight because of “chapped lips.

UFC 225 Odds For The Undercard:

Curtis Blaydes (-175) vs. Alistair Overeem (+155)
Claudia Gadelha (-550) vs. Carla Esparza (+425)
Mirsad Bektic (-230) vs. Ricardo Lamas (+190)
Rashad Coulter (-175) vs. Chris De La Rocha (+155)
Anthony Smith (-330) vs. Rashad Evans (+270)
Joseph Benavidez (-250) vs. Sergio Pettis (+210)
Charles Oliveira (-160) vs. Clay Guida (+140)
Dan Ige (-135) vs. Mike Santiago (+115)

Thoughts: Putting Alistair Overeem on the undercard was dumb, but making him the underdog against Curtis Blaydes more than makes up for it. Look, I’ve been on the Blaydes Train since the beginning. I picked him to beat Francis Ngannou and I have proof. I get that he’s good, but his striking hasn’t developed the way it should and taking down Overeem is a monumental task. While I’d ordinarily be hesitant to pick a guy coming off a devastating knockout loss, I think Overeem’s used to them by now. The sheer amount of time they’ll spend in the clinch has me leaning toward the guy whose clinch is a borderline war crime.

UFC 225 Odds For The Main Card:

Robert Whittaker (-240) vs. Yoel Romero (+200)
Colby Covington (-115) vs. Rafael Dos Anjos (-105)
Holly Holm (-235) vs. Megan Anderson (+195)
Tai Tuivasa (-270) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+230)
Mike Jackson (-230) vs. CM Punk (+190)

Thoughts: Rafael dos Anjos is s beast and he’s going to smash Colby Covington’s face. That assessment isn’t even driven by antipathy toward Covington, although he does do a bang-up job of generating it. Dos Anjos is by far the best striker Covington has fought in UFC and has both the wrestling and the cardio to enforce his will for all five rounds. Covington’s record is iffy outside of Demian Maia, for whom he was a stylistic nightmare, and dos Anjos is going to punish him with low kicks and body shots all night.

UFC 225 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Alistair Overeem: Bet $ 80 to make $ 124
  • Single bet — Rafael Dos Anjos: Bet $ 105 to make $ 100

UFC 225 features two title fights, the debut of a champion from another organization (the aforementioned Anderson), and a boatload of near-guaranteed finishes. That’s good enough for me! See you Saturday, Maniacs.

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UFC ‘Liverpool’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 130, which is set to hit Echo Arena in Liverpool, England, this weekend (Sun., May 27, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

England’s next best hope for an Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) title faces his stiffest challenge to date this Sunday (May 27, 2018) when Darren Till faces Stephen Thompson in the former’s native Liverpool, headlining UFC Fight Night 130 on FOX Sports 1 from inside Echo Arena. Fellow Welterweight standouts Neil Magny and Craig White duke it out in the co-feature, while Arnold Allen takes on Mads Burnell and Jason Knight welcomes Makwan Amirkhani back to the Octagon.

Sunday is a holy day, so what better way to honor that than by making money without working? Here’s how!

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 129?

There’s really no way to save face when your big underdog pick gets thrashed faster than any other women’s Strawweight in UFC history. Poliana Botelho fought to the best of her abilities, which I did not expect her to do, and established herself as one to watch. At least we still turned a profit, right?

UFC Fight Night 130 Odds For Undercard:

Nordine Taleb (-300) vs. Claudio Henrique da Silva (+250)
Tom Breese (-310) vs. Daniel Kelly (+255)
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (-170) vs. Brad Scott (+150)
Molly McCann (-250) vs. Gillian Robertson (+210)
Elias Theodorou (-400) vs. Trevor Smith (+325)
Lina Lansberg (-130) vs. Gina Mazany (+110)

Thoughts: Not too much on the undercard besides Nordine Taleb and a Hail Mary pick on Trevor Smith.

Taleb actually opened at -190, which was a “put your mortgage on this” line if I’ve ever seen one. Claudio da Silva has non-existent striking, mediocre wrestling and hasn’t fought since 2014. He’s also 35 years old, so I can’t imagine him making massive strides in that gap. In short, -300 still isn’t giving Taleb enough credit, so bet accordingly.

Smith has a shaky chin and not much of a striking game, but he’s an absolute bastard in the clinch and from top position. Theodorou, meanwhile, has no stopping power to speak of and tends toward grindy bouts, which plays into Smith’s hands. It’s worth putting a pittance on “Hot Sauce.”

You could also add Tom Breese to the Taleb bet to get near-even odds. Breese is all wrong for Kelly and should have a clear edge wherever the fight goes.

UFC Fight Night 130 Odds For Main Card:

Stephen Thompson (-110) vs. Darren Till (-110)
Neil Magny (-600) vs. Craig White (+450)
Arnold Allen (-270) vs. Mads Burnell (+130)
Jason Knight (-145) vs. Makwan Amirkhani (+125)
Manny Bermudez (-230) vs. Davey Grant (+190)
Eric Spicely (-210) vs. Darren Stewart (+175)

Thoughts: If the undercard was sparse when it came to bargains, the main card is downright barren. I do, however, have absolute faith in Stephen Thompson.

Darren Till is an enormous Welterweight with legitimate striking skills. At the same time, his resume outside of Donald Cerrone pales in comparison to Thompson’s. Wendell Oliveira (0-2 UFC), Nicolas Dalby (1-2-1 UFC), Jessin Ayari (1-1 UFC) and Bojan Velickovic (2-3-1) are not a Murderer’s Row. Thompson can take a punch, has held his own against multiple elite 170-pound competitors, and actually has experience going five rounds. The Till Train hits an abrupt stop this Sunday.

UFC Fight Night 130 Best Bets:

  • Parlay — Nordine Taleb and Tom Breese: Bet $ 131 to make $ 100
  • Single bet — Trevor Smith: Bet $ 20 to make $ 65
  • Single bet — Stephen Thompson: Bet $ 66 to make $ 60

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 130 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 621.02

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UFC On FOX 29 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC on FOX 29, which is set to hit Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz., this weekend (Sat., April 14, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Defense will not be on the menu this Saturday evening (April 14, 2018) when Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje headline UFC on FOX 29 inside Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz., leading a 14-fight card filled with quality mixed martial arts (MMA) match ups.

UFC on FOX 29’s main card will also see Alex Oliveira step up to face Carlos Condit on short notice, Israel Adesanya look to continue his rise at Marvin Vettori’s expense, and Cortney Casey look to bounce back from defeat against Michelle Waterson.

I’d figure out a clever segue, but it’s a bit late, so let’s just get on with it:

What Went Wrong At UFC 223?

Well, it doesn’t help when one of your key bets gets glass blasted in his face with a metal dolly by a pissed-off Irishman and has to withdraw. Thanks, Conor.

In my (additional) defense, I don’t think there’s a pundit alive who predicted that Olivier Aubin-Mercier would stop Evan Dunham with strikes. It was a hell of a liver shot and a seriously impressive win for “The Quebec Kid,” whom I’ve bet against several times to no avail. I should probably stop doing that.

UFC On FOX 29 Odds For The Undercard:

Antonio Carlos Junior (-270) vs. Tim Boetsch (+230)
Muslim Salikhov (-165) vs. Ricky Rainey (+145)
Wilson Reis (-140) vs. John Moraga (+120)
Brad Tavares (-140) vs. Krzysztof Jotko (+120)
Gilbert Burns (-525) vs. Dan Moret (+415)
Shana Dobson (-115) vs. Lauren Mueller (-105)
Dhiego Lima (-110) vs. Yushin Okami (-110)
Arjan Bhullar (-365) vs. Adam Wieczorek (+305)
Matthew Lopez (-130) vs. Alejandro Perez (+110)
Luke Sanders (-420) vs. Patrick Williams (+335)

Thoughts: Ten “Prelims” undercard bouts and not a one is worth betting the house on. It’s always a shame when the bookies know what they’re doing. You could probably squeeze some value out of Muslim Salikhov and John Moraga, though.

Salikhov is legitimately one of the scariest Welterweight strikers on the planet, and while Rainey has some nifty trips in the clinch, he’s not the sort of overpowering takedown artist Alex Garcia is. He’s going to have to strike with Salikhov, and even a 10-inch reach advantage isn’t enough to save him from “The King of Kung Fu,” especially not on a week’s notice.

Betting on Moraga is always, well, a gamble, but Reis’ durability issues appear to have come to a head. He gets dropped approximately 1.5 times per fight and, against Henry Cejudo, he finally stayed down. Moraga’s deeply flawed, but scrappy as hell; at this point in Reis’ career, I can’t pick the Brazilian against a heavy hitter. Therefore, a moderate bet on “Chicano John” makes sense.

UFC On FOX 29 Odds For The Main Card:

Dustin Poierir (-145) v. Justin Gaethje (+125)
Alex Oliveira (-230) vs. Carlos Condit (+190)
Israel Adesanya (-260) vs. Marvin Vettori (+220)
Cortney Casey (-125) vs. Michelle Waterson (+105)

Thoughts: As a rule, I generally don’t bet on people I do not believe have at least a 50 percent chance to win, but the line on Marvin Vettori is just too tempting.

Israel Adesanya’s takedown defense and defensive grappling are better than the average kickboxing convert’s, but they’re not bulletproof. Vettori is by far the best submission artist he’s ever faced and, while the Italian isn’t the cleanest wrestler in the world, he’s as tough as they come and utterly fearless. I would not be surprised at all to see Adesanya’s rise hit a serious bump against Vettori, so be sure you’re in a position to benefit.

UFC On FOX 29 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Muslim Salikhov: Bet $ 82.50 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — John Moraga: Bet $ 40 to make $ 48
  • Single bet — Marvin Vettori: Bet $ 30 to make $ 66

UFC on FOX 29 has quite a few fights here you cannot afford to miss. Be there or be … disappointed, I guess. See you Saturday, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 672.91

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UFC ‘London’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 127, which is set to hit The O2 Arena in London, England, this weekend (Sat., March 17, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Heavyweight champ Fabricio Werdum will look to take out his second consecutive European standout this Saturday (March 17, 2018) when he takes on the towering Alexander Volkov inside. The venerable O2 Arena in London, England, will also see local favorite Jimi Manuwa face Jan Blachowicz, top prospect Tom Duquesnoy attempt to bounce back against Terrion Ware, and surging Welterweight prospect Leon Edwards throw down with Germany’s Peter Sobotta.

All the face punching action will take stream online via UFC Fight Pass, meaning all we need to do is make $ 9.99 to cover expenses. Let’s aim a bit higher than that, though.

What Went Wrong at UFC 222?

Oof, yeah, that didn’t go so well. I’m just going to stop betting against Brian Ortega if it’s all the same to you. As far as the others, one judge and the majority of mixed martial arts (MMA) media had Bryan Caraway beating Cody Stamann, so I won’t apologize for that pick. Picking Mike Pyle wasn’t the best idea I’ve ever had, though, but I will at least try to cover my ass by saying Pyle wins that fight if he stays conscious. Which is, you know, functionally meaningless, but forgive me for protecting my ego.

UFC Fight Night 127 Odds For The Undercard:

Charles Byrd (-115) vs. John Phillips (-105)
Danny Robert (-185) vs. Oliver Enkamp (+160)
Jack Marshman (-290) vs. Brad Scott (+245)
Hakeem Dawodu (-360) vs. Danny Henry (+300)
Magomed Ankalaev (-620) vs. Paul Craig (+460)
Stevie Ray (-170) vs. Kajan Johnson (+150)
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy (-275) vs. Mark Godbeer (+235)
Nasrat Haqparast (-145) vs. Nad Narimani (+125)

Thoughts: Not exactly the most consistently competitive matchmaking I’ve ever seen on an undercard. Still, I like the values on Charles Byrd and Nad Narimani.

John Phillips is coming off a two-year layoff and, frankly, doesn’t appear to have evolved at all despite more than a full decade in the sport. His power is monumental, but there’s zero craft to his boxing and his takedown defense is straight-up woeful. He’s lost every single time he’s stepped up in competition and I fully expect Byrd to tap him quickly.

Nasrat Haqparast is a terrific physical specimen with bone-crushing power. With the right camp behind him, he could be a genuine threat. As is, his wrestling still leaves a lot to be desired and he can get a bit wild when throwing something other than his preferred straight left. Narimani’s coming in on short notice and stepping up in weight, but he’s a tank of a Featherweight and well-rounded enough to hold his own. It’s a close fight, and I wouldn’t bet on Narimani if the odds were closer, but he’s an underdog worth taking a chance on.

UFC Fight Night 127 Odds For The Main Card:

Fabricio Werdum (-200) vs. Alexander Volkov (+170)
Jimi Manuwa (-200) vs. Jan Blachowicz (+170)
Tom Duquesnoy (-300) vs. Terrion Ware (+250)
Leon Edwards (-210) vs. Peter Sobotta (+175)

Thoughts: This is more a whim than anything else, but I feel like putting a bit on Volkov wouldn’t go awry. For all of Fabricio Werdum’s improvements, his takedowns remain sorely lacking, meaning this will most likely be a 25-minute stand up battle. And Volkov’s only losses since 2010 came against people who were focused on taking him down or grinding from the clinch. If nothing else, Volkov’s a nicely varied striker with enough tools to counter Werdum’s straightforward one-two combinations. Not a pick to bet the farm on, but something worth looking at.

UFC Fight Night 127 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Charles Byrd: Bet $ 80.50 to make $ 70
  • Single bet — Nad Narimani: $ 40 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — Alexander Volkov: $ 30 to make $ 51

UFC Fight Night 127 has got lots of new talent and is early enough in the day to not interfere with your Saturday evening plans. Works for me. See you there, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 127 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 576.91

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UFC 222 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 222, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., March 3, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

Another Invicta FC female champion enters the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) women’s Featherweight meat grinder this Saturday (March 3, 2018) when its Bantamweight roost ruler, Yana Kunitskaya, goes up a weight class to take on UFC’s 145-pound queenpin, Cris Cyborg, in the main event of UFC 222, live on pay-per-view (PPV) from inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Over on the men’s side of the division, perennial title contender Frankie Edgar throws down with the surging Brian Ortega, while crowd-pleasers Andre Soukhamthath and Sean O’Malley duke it out t10 pounds south.

It’s iffy whether UFC 222’s PPV main card is worth $ 60, but here’s how to pay for it with no skin off your back just in case.

What Went Wrong at UFC on FOX 28?

Well, for one thing, Gilbert Burns decided it would be a good idea to be over 180 pounds during fight week and got his ass yanked, which threw off the balance of my betting amounts and left me in the red despite going 1-1. Normally, I use this part to give props to the fighters I underestimated, but I genuinely think Eric Shelton badly underperformed. There’s just something missing in his game … some measure of urgency? Nevertheless, his potential is still sky-high, but something’s gotta change.

UFC 222 Odds For The Undercard:

Mackenzie Dern (-380) vs. Ashley Yoder (+315)
Beneil Dariush (-380) vs. Alexander Hernandez (+315)
John Dodson (-175) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+155)
Hector Lombard (-145) vs. C.B. Dollaway (+125)
Zak Ottow (-280) vs. Mike Pyle (+240)
Cody Stamann (-165) vs. Bryan Caraway (+145)
Jordan Johnson (-310) vs. Adam Milstead (+255)

Thoughts: Yeah, this really isn’t that great a card, but it does have plenty of betting potential. I like the lines on Dodson, Pyle and Bryan Caraway.

I went over my reasons for picking Dodson the last time these two were supposed to fight, but in short, Munhoz will almost certainly struggle to take him down and “The Young Punisher’s” striking isn’t polished enough to avoid Dodson’s monster left hand. It’ll be a stand up battle that Munhoz simply does not have the technique to win.

Pyle is 42 years old and coming off of two ridiculously savage knockout losses, but it’s worth noting that the four men who’ve finished him since 2011 were Matt Brown, Jordan Mein, Alberto Mina and Alex Garcia, all of whom have exponentially more stopping power than Ottow. Ottow has no (technical) knockout finishes in his last nine fights and has looked mediocre even in victory. Pyle is the more dangerous striker, the stronger wrestler, and the more fearsome submission artist. Year-long layoff or no, he wins this.

In his last fight, Caraway held his own in the wrestling against a stud takedown artist in Aljamain Sterling. In the fight before that, he outclassed Eddie Wineland on the feet without landing a single takedown. Stamann is a strong wrestler with serviceable striking, but he was losing to Tom Duquesnoy before “Fire Kid’s” gas tank rank out. I’ve got “Kid Lightning” here even if he hasn’t fought since May 2016.

UFC 222 Odds For The Main Card:

Cristiane Justino (-1700) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+1100)
Frankie Edgar (-170) vs. Brian Ortega (+150)
Andre Soukhamthath (-140) vs. Sean O’Malley (+120)
Stefan Struve (-185) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+160)
Ketlen Vieira (-145) vs. Cat Zingano (+125)

Thoughts: Edgar is going to hit-and-run Ortega to death for 15 one-sided minutes.

I’ve underestimated Ortega before. I’ve unfairly disparaged his abilities. Yet, I still think Edgar should be favored more than Stefan friggin’ Struve. Ortega’s wrestling just isn’t there — he forces clinches with relentless pressure or baits takedowns. That’s not a strategy that will work against a smart, fleet-footed boxer like Edgar who’s scrambled out of a Benson Henderson guillotine and been kicked in the head by Jeremy Stephens without losing his composure. Edgar picks him apart all night.

UFC 222 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — John Dodson: Bet $ 100 to make $ 57.14
  • Single bet — Mike Pyle: Bet $ 50 to make $ 120
  • Single bet — Bryan Caraway: Bet $ 60 to make $ 87
  • Single bet — Frankie Edgar: Bet $ 125 to make $ 71.42

Edgar vs. Ortega ought to be a hoot and, while the main event is a grievous mismatch, at least Cyborg generally makes gruesome spectacles out of mismatches. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 222 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 754.77

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