Tag Archive for Best

UFC On FOX 29 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC on FOX 29, which is set to hit Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz., this weekend (Sat., April 14, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Defense will not be on the menu this Saturday evening (April 14, 2018) when Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje headline UFC on FOX 29 inside Gila River Arena in Glendale, Ariz., leading a 14-fight card filled with quality mixed martial arts (MMA) match ups.

UFC on FOX 29’s main card will also see Alex Oliveira step up to face Carlos Condit on short notice, Israel Adesanya look to continue his rise at Marvin Vettori’s expense, and Cortney Casey look to bounce back from defeat against Michelle Waterson.

I’d figure out a clever segue, but it’s a bit late, so let’s just get on with it:

What Went Wrong At UFC 223?

Well, it doesn’t help when one of your key bets gets glass blasted in his face with a metal dolly by a pissed-off Irishman and has to withdraw. Thanks, Conor.

In my (additional) defense, I don’t think there’s a pundit alive who predicted that Olivier Aubin-Mercier would stop Evan Dunham with strikes. It was a hell of a liver shot and a seriously impressive win for “The Quebec Kid,” whom I’ve bet against several times to no avail. I should probably stop doing that.

UFC On FOX 29 Odds For The Undercard:

Antonio Carlos Junior (-270) vs. Tim Boetsch (+230)
Muslim Salikhov (-165) vs. Ricky Rainey (+145)
Wilson Reis (-140) vs. John Moraga (+120)
Brad Tavares (-140) vs. Krzysztof Jotko (+120)
Gilbert Burns (-525) vs. Dan Moret (+415)
Shana Dobson (-115) vs. Lauren Mueller (-105)
Dhiego Lima (-110) vs. Yushin Okami (-110)
Arjan Bhullar (-365) vs. Adam Wieczorek (+305)
Matthew Lopez (-130) vs. Alejandro Perez (+110)
Luke Sanders (-420) vs. Patrick Williams (+335)

Thoughts: Ten “Prelims” undercard bouts and not a one is worth betting the house on. It’s always a shame when the bookies know what they’re doing. You could probably squeeze some value out of Muslim Salikhov and John Moraga, though.

Salikhov is legitimately one of the scariest Welterweight strikers on the planet, and while Rainey has some nifty trips in the clinch, he’s not the sort of overpowering takedown artist Alex Garcia is. He’s going to have to strike with Salikhov, and even a 10-inch reach advantage isn’t enough to save him from “The King of Kung Fu,” especially not on a week’s notice.

Betting on Moraga is always, well, a gamble, but Reis’ durability issues appear to have come to a head. He gets dropped approximately 1.5 times per fight and, against Henry Cejudo, he finally stayed down. Moraga’s deeply flawed, but scrappy as hell; at this point in Reis’ career, I can’t pick the Brazilian against a heavy hitter. Therefore, a moderate bet on “Chicano John” makes sense.

UFC On FOX 29 Odds For The Main Card:

Dustin Poierir (-145) v. Justin Gaethje (+125)
Alex Oliveira (-230) vs. Carlos Condit (+190)
Israel Adesanya (-260) vs. Marvin Vettori (+220)
Cortney Casey (-125) vs. Michelle Waterson (+105)

Thoughts: As a rule, I generally don’t bet on people I do not believe have at least a 50 percent chance to win, but the line on Marvin Vettori is just too tempting.

Israel Adesanya’s takedown defense and defensive grappling are better than the average kickboxing convert’s, but they’re not bulletproof. Vettori is by far the best submission artist he’s ever faced and, while the Italian isn’t the cleanest wrestler in the world, he’s as tough as they come and utterly fearless. I would not be surprised at all to see Adesanya’s rise hit a serious bump against Vettori, so be sure you’re in a position to benefit.

UFC On FOX 29 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Muslim Salikhov: Bet $ 82.50 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — John Moraga: Bet $ 40 to make $ 48
  • Single bet — Marvin Vettori: Bet $ 30 to make $ 66

UFC on FOX 29 has quite a few fights here you cannot afford to miss. Be there or be … disappointed, I guess. See you Saturday, Maniacs.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 672.91

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UFC ‘London’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 127, which is set to hit The O2 Arena in London, England, this weekend (Sat., March 17, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Heavyweight champ Fabricio Werdum will look to take out his second consecutive European standout this Saturday (March 17, 2018) when he takes on the towering Alexander Volkov inside. The venerable O2 Arena in London, England, will also see local favorite Jimi Manuwa face Jan Blachowicz, top prospect Tom Duquesnoy attempt to bounce back against Terrion Ware, and surging Welterweight prospect Leon Edwards throw down with Germany’s Peter Sobotta.

All the face punching action will take stream online via UFC Fight Pass, meaning all we need to do is make $ 9.99 to cover expenses. Let’s aim a bit higher than that, though.

What Went Wrong at UFC 222?

Oof, yeah, that didn’t go so well. I’m just going to stop betting against Brian Ortega if it’s all the same to you. As far as the others, one judge and the majority of mixed martial arts (MMA) media had Bryan Caraway beating Cody Stamann, so I won’t apologize for that pick. Picking Mike Pyle wasn’t the best idea I’ve ever had, though, but I will at least try to cover my ass by saying Pyle wins that fight if he stays conscious. Which is, you know, functionally meaningless, but forgive me for protecting my ego.

UFC Fight Night 127 Odds For The Undercard:

Charles Byrd (-115) vs. John Phillips (-105)
Danny Robert (-185) vs. Oliver Enkamp (+160)
Jack Marshman (-290) vs. Brad Scott (+245)
Hakeem Dawodu (-360) vs. Danny Henry (+300)
Magomed Ankalaev (-620) vs. Paul Craig (+460)
Stevie Ray (-170) vs. Kajan Johnson (+150)
Dmitriy Sosnovskiy (-275) vs. Mark Godbeer (+235)
Nasrat Haqparast (-145) vs. Nad Narimani (+125)

Thoughts: Not exactly the most consistently competitive matchmaking I’ve ever seen on an undercard. Still, I like the values on Charles Byrd and Nad Narimani.

John Phillips is coming off a two-year layoff and, frankly, doesn’t appear to have evolved at all despite more than a full decade in the sport. His power is monumental, but there’s zero craft to his boxing and his takedown defense is straight-up woeful. He’s lost every single time he’s stepped up in competition and I fully expect Byrd to tap him quickly.

Nasrat Haqparast is a terrific physical specimen with bone-crushing power. With the right camp behind him, he could be a genuine threat. As is, his wrestling still leaves a lot to be desired and he can get a bit wild when throwing something other than his preferred straight left. Narimani’s coming in on short notice and stepping up in weight, but he’s a tank of a Featherweight and well-rounded enough to hold his own. It’s a close fight, and I wouldn’t bet on Narimani if the odds were closer, but he’s an underdog worth taking a chance on.

UFC Fight Night 127 Odds For The Main Card:

Fabricio Werdum (-200) vs. Alexander Volkov (+170)
Jimi Manuwa (-200) vs. Jan Blachowicz (+170)
Tom Duquesnoy (-300) vs. Terrion Ware (+250)
Leon Edwards (-210) vs. Peter Sobotta (+175)

Thoughts: This is more a whim than anything else, but I feel like putting a bit on Volkov wouldn’t go awry. For all of Fabricio Werdum’s improvements, his takedowns remain sorely lacking, meaning this will most likely be a 25-minute stand up battle. And Volkov’s only losses since 2010 came against people who were focused on taking him down or grinding from the clinch. If nothing else, Volkov’s a nicely varied striker with enough tools to counter Werdum’s straightforward one-two combinations. Not a pick to bet the farm on, but something worth looking at.

UFC Fight Night 127 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Charles Byrd: Bet $ 80.50 to make $ 70
  • Single bet — Nad Narimani: $ 40 to make $ 50
  • Single bet — Alexander Volkov: $ 30 to make $ 51

UFC Fight Night 127 has got lots of new talent and is early enough in the day to not interfere with your Saturday evening plans. Works for me. See you there, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 127 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 576.91

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UFC 222 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC 222, which is set to hit T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., March 3, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites, and much more!

Another Invicta FC female champion enters the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) women’s Featherweight meat grinder this Saturday (March 3, 2018) when its Bantamweight roost ruler, Yana Kunitskaya, goes up a weight class to take on UFC’s 145-pound queenpin, Cris Cyborg, in the main event of UFC 222, live on pay-per-view (PPV) from inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Over on the men’s side of the division, perennial title contender Frankie Edgar throws down with the surging Brian Ortega, while crowd-pleasers Andre Soukhamthath and Sean O’Malley duke it out t10 pounds south.

It’s iffy whether UFC 222’s PPV main card is worth $ 60, but here’s how to pay for it with no skin off your back just in case.

What Went Wrong at UFC on FOX 28?

Well, for one thing, Gilbert Burns decided it would be a good idea to be over 180 pounds during fight week and got his ass yanked, which threw off the balance of my betting amounts and left me in the red despite going 1-1. Normally, I use this part to give props to the fighters I underestimated, but I genuinely think Eric Shelton badly underperformed. There’s just something missing in his game … some measure of urgency? Nevertheless, his potential is still sky-high, but something’s gotta change.

UFC 222 Odds For The Undercard:

Mackenzie Dern (-380) vs. Ashley Yoder (+315)
Beneil Dariush (-380) vs. Alexander Hernandez (+315)
John Dodson (-175) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+155)
Hector Lombard (-145) vs. C.B. Dollaway (+125)
Zak Ottow (-280) vs. Mike Pyle (+240)
Cody Stamann (-165) vs. Bryan Caraway (+145)
Jordan Johnson (-310) vs. Adam Milstead (+255)

Thoughts: Yeah, this really isn’t that great a card, but it does have plenty of betting potential. I like the lines on Dodson, Pyle and Bryan Caraway.

I went over my reasons for picking Dodson the last time these two were supposed to fight, but in short, Munhoz will almost certainly struggle to take him down and “The Young Punisher’s” striking isn’t polished enough to avoid Dodson’s monster left hand. It’ll be a stand up battle that Munhoz simply does not have the technique to win.

Pyle is 42 years old and coming off of two ridiculously savage knockout losses, but it’s worth noting that the four men who’ve finished him since 2011 were Matt Brown, Jordan Mein, Alberto Mina and Alex Garcia, all of whom have exponentially more stopping power than Ottow. Ottow has no (technical) knockout finishes in his last nine fights and has looked mediocre even in victory. Pyle is the more dangerous striker, the stronger wrestler, and the more fearsome submission artist. Year-long layoff or no, he wins this.

In his last fight, Caraway held his own in the wrestling against a stud takedown artist in Aljamain Sterling. In the fight before that, he outclassed Eddie Wineland on the feet without landing a single takedown. Stamann is a strong wrestler with serviceable striking, but he was losing to Tom Duquesnoy before “Fire Kid’s” gas tank rank out. I’ve got “Kid Lightning” here even if he hasn’t fought since May 2016.

UFC 222 Odds For The Main Card:

Cristiane Justino (-1700) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+1100)
Frankie Edgar (-170) vs. Brian Ortega (+150)
Andre Soukhamthath (-140) vs. Sean O’Malley (+120)
Stefan Struve (-185) vs. Andrei Arlovski (+160)
Ketlen Vieira (-145) vs. Cat Zingano (+125)

Thoughts: Edgar is going to hit-and-run Ortega to death for 15 one-sided minutes.

I’ve underestimated Ortega before. I’ve unfairly disparaged his abilities. Yet, I still think Edgar should be favored more than Stefan friggin’ Struve. Ortega’s wrestling just isn’t there — he forces clinches with relentless pressure or baits takedowns. That’s not a strategy that will work against a smart, fleet-footed boxer like Edgar who’s scrambled out of a Benson Henderson guillotine and been kicked in the head by Jeremy Stephens without losing his composure. Edgar picks him apart all night.

UFC 222 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — John Dodson: Bet $ 100 to make $ 57.14
  • Single bet — Mike Pyle: Bet $ 50 to make $ 120
  • Single bet — Bryan Caraway: Bet $ 60 to make $ 87
  • Single bet — Frankie Edgar: Bet $ 125 to make $ 71.42

Edgar vs. Ortega ought to be a hoot and, while the main event is a grievous mismatch, at least Cyborg generally makes gruesome spectacles out of mismatches. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC 222 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 754.77

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UFC On FOX 28 Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC on FOX 28, which is set to hit Amway Center in Orlando, Fla., this weekend (Sat., Feb. 24, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Two Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Featherweight bangers on the heels of knockout victories do battle inside Amway Center in Orlando, Fla., this Saturday evening (Feb. 24, 2018) when Jeremy Stephens takes on Josh Emmett in the main event of UFC on FOX 28.

The four-fight broadcast also includes a clash between top-tier women’s Strawweight contenders Jessica Andrade and Tecia Torres, a Light Heavyweight throwdown between the heavy-handed Ovince Saint Preux and Ilir Latifi, and what ought to be a genuine banger between Mike Perry and Max Griffin.

Valentine’s Day is over, but your special someone could always use more treats. Here’s how to afford them:

What Went Wrong at UFC Fight Night 126?

For one, I didn’t recommend nearly enough money on Roberto Sanchez. For two, James Vick took Francisco Trinaldo’s punches much better than I expected. Trinaldo didn’t have nearly as much success pressuring as I anticipated, but I stand by my assessment that he was sorely undervalued by the bookies. Vick will get flattened someday soon, though. You can quote me on that.

UFC on FOX 28 Undercard Odds:

Renan Barao (-155) vs. Brian Kelleher (+135)
Sara McMann (-220) vs. Marion Reneau (+180)
Angela Hill (-145) vs. Maryna Moroz (+125)
Alan Jouban (-240) vs. Ben Saunders (+200)
Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-170) vs. Gilbert Burns (+130)
Marcin Prachnio (-285) vs. Sam Alvey (+205)
Rani Yahya (-400) vs. Russell Doane (+280)
Alex Perez (-190) vs. Eric Shelton (+150)
Manny Bermudez (-195) vs. Albert Morales (+155)

Thoughts: I see quite a bit of potential here. Brian Kelleher, Gilbert Burns and Eric Shelton all look like quality underdog investments.

Barao has not looked good, even in victory, since 2014. He looked pedestrian against Phillipe Nover and showed rock-bottom fight IQ against Jeremy Stephens and Aljamain Sterling, both of whom he had the skills to dominate. He’s also cutting to 135 pounds without an IV, which he’s flat-out not allowed to do in at least one state because of the effects on his health. Kelleher is durable and relentless, which is enough to get me leaning his way.

The last time Aubin-Mercier took on a world-class Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist, he got dominated for three rounds. Burns is certainly capable of recreating Diego Ferreira’s triumph, especially since he’s a more complete kickboxer with every bit as much stopping power in his strikes. “Durinho” for the win.

There’s a difference between dominating the likes of Carls Jon de Tomas and giving Tim Elliott a run for his money. Alex Perez — despite having more professional fights — doesn’t have anywhere near Shelton’s level of experience against the cream of the crop. Shelton can hold his own wherever the fight goes, so expect him to earn the victory.

UFC on FOX 28 Main Card Odds:

Jeremy Stephens (-165) vs. Josh Emmett (+145)
Jessica Andrade (-320) vs. Tecia Torres (+260)
Ovince Saint Preux (-120) vs. Ilir Latifi (EVEN)
Mike Perry (-340) vs. Max Griffn (+280)

Thoughts: All of these fights, save perhaps for Andrade vs. Torres, could turn on a dime, so I would not recommend putting any money on them. Even the exception is worth staying away from, as Torres has upset potential, but isn’t a sufficiently live dog to justify putting money on.

UFC on FOX 28 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Brian Kelleher: Bet $ 50 to make $ 67.50
  • Single bet — Gilbert Burns: Bet $ 60 to make $ 78
  • Single bet — Eric Shelton: Bet $ 80 to make $ 104

There are lot of folks who are going to get knocked senseless, methinks, so be sure you’re there to watch. See you Saturday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC on FOX 28 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 767.27

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UFC ‘Austin’ Odds, Under Dogs And Best Bets!

Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Fight Night 126, which is set to hit Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas, this weekend (Sun., Feb. 18, 2018), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Austin, Texas, for a Sunday (Feb. 18, 2018) spectacular this weekend, putting finishers Donald Cerrone and Yancy Medeiros against each other in UFC Fight Night 126’s main event. The evening will also see Derrick Lewis take on Marcin Tybura, James Vick throw down with Francisco Trinaldo, and Thiago Alves welcome Curtis Millender to the Octagon inside Frank Erwin Center.

Ain’t no gambling like gambling on the Lord’s day … here’s how to go about it:

What Went Wrong at UFC 221?

Well, it’s about time I had a straight-up bust this year. Jake Matthews and Jussier Formiga both showed significantly more stopping power than in previous appearances and got me much more interested in their future fights. Formiga was also aided by Ben Nguyen continuing to throw naked low kicks despite getting taken down from them more than once, but no use crying over spilled brain cells.

UFC Fight Night 126 Odds For The Undercard:

Jared Gordon (-260) vs. Diego Ferreira (+200)
Geoffrey Neal (-215) vs. Brian Camozzi (+170)
Joby Sanchez (-135) vs. Roberto Sanchez (+105)
Lucie Pudilova (-155) vs. Sarah Moras (+125)
Brandon Davis (-195) vs. Steven Peterson (+160)
Oskar Piechota (-260) vs. Tim Williams (+210)
Alex Morono (-230) vs. Josh Burkman (+180)

Thoughts: Roberto Sanchez did not start out as an underdog. He should not be one now. Joby has the UFC experience and Roberto’s last fight was something of a disaster, but the style match up is definitely in the latter’s favor. Joby got taken down by both of his “Tuesday Night Contender Series” opponents and Roberto’s opponents tend not to get back up once he puts them on their backs. Roberto wins the Sanchez battle, so bet accordingly. And be sure to double-check your ticket.

UFC Fight Night 126 Odds For The Main Card:

Donald Cerrone (-160) vs. Yancy Medeiros (+140)
Marcin Tybura (-145) vs. Derrick Lewis (+125)
James Vick (-220) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (+180)
Thiago Alves (-180) vs. Curtis Millender (+150)
Sage Northcutt (-300) vs. Thibault Gouti (+240)

Thoughts: I am more than happy to admit that my distaste for James Vick colors my thinking, but putting him as a -220 favorite over someone who’s 8-1 in his last nine bouts seems a bit excessive. Their resumes are fairly close when it comes to quality of opponents and it’s worth noting that Vick’s sole UFC loss came against another southpaw pressure fighter in Beneil Dariush. Trinaldo is still a beast at 39 and has the goods to ruin Vick’s homecoming.

UFC Fight Night 126 Best Bets:

  • Single bet — Roberto Sanchez: Bet $ 80 to make $ 84
  • Single bet — Francisco Trinaldo: Bet $ 50 to make $ 90

Somebody’s getting hurt and somebody’s getting a bonus in the main event. See you Sunday, Maniacs!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver live UFC Fight Night 125 results on fight night, which is as good a place as any to talk about all the action inside the Octagon, as well as what you’ve got riding on the sportsbook.

Initial Investment For 2018: $ 300
Current Total: $ 733.27

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Max Holloway Declines ‘Best Ever’ Label Following Second Victory Over Jose Aldo

Sports entertainment star Ric Flair coined the phrase, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”
Recent News on Sherdog.com

Max Holloway Declines ‘Best Ever’ Label Following Second Victory Over Jose Aldo

Sports entertainment star Ric Flair coined the phrase, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”
Recent News on Sherdog.com

Max Holloway Declines ‘Best Ever’ Label Following Second Victory Over Jose Aldo

Sports entertainment star Ric Flair coined the phrase, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”
Recent News on Sherdog.com

Max Holloway Declines ‘Best Ever’ Label Following Second Victory Over Jose Aldo

Sports entertainment star Ric Flair coined the phrase, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”
Recent News on Sherdog.com

Max Holloway Declines ‘Best Ever’ Label Following Second Victory Over Jose Aldo

Sports entertainment star Ric Flair coined the phrase, “To be the man, you gotta beat the man.”
Recent News on Sherdog.com